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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Barcelona
S S S T S
4–0
Full-time
Villarreal
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Betis 3 2 0 1 +2 6
2 Granada 3 2 0 1 -2 6
3 Sociedad 3 1 2 0 +3 5
4 Celta 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
6 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Cadiz 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Huesca 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Alaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Jul -20 Villarreal – Barcelona 1–4 24. Sep -19 Barcelona – Villarreal 2–1 2. Apr -19 Villarreal – Barcelona 4–4 2. Dec -18 Barcelona – Villarreal 2–0 9. May -18 Barcelona – Villarreal 5–1

Match report

Barcelona Villarreal
1–0 Ansu Fati ⚽
Jordi Alba
15′
2–0 Ansu Fati ⚽
Philippe Coutinho
19′
3–0 L. Messi ⚽
35′
3–1 Pau Torres ⚽
own goal
45′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 Manu Trigueros
↦ F. Coquelin
46′
🔁 Iborra
↦ Paco Alcácer
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Ansu Fati
70′
Pedri 🔁
↦ Philippe Coutinho
70′
74′
🔁 T. Kubo
↦ S. Chukwueze
M. Pjanić 🔁
↦ Busquets
78′
Trincão 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
78′
83′
🟨 Gerard Moreno
84′
🔁 C. Bacca
↦ Gerard Moreno
84′
🔁 Ramiro Funes Mori
↦ Albiol
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 Neto G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
15 C. Lenglet D
5 Busquets M
14 Philippe Coutinho M
21 F. de Jong M
10 L. Messi F
7 A. Griezmann M
22 Ansu Fati M
Bench (12)
11 O. Dembélé
16 Pedri
8 M. Pjanić
17 Trincão
12 Rafinha
30 R. Araújo
36 Arnau Tenas
32 S. Ramos
24 Junior Firpo
28 Riqui Puig
6 Carles Aleñá
26 Iñaki Peña

Coach: R. Koeman

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Asenjo G
3 Albiol D
2 Mario Gaspar D
15 P. Estupiñán D
4 Pau Torres D
5 Dani Parejo M
19 F. Coquelin M
23 Moi Gómez M
11 S. Chukwueze M
17 Paco Alcácer F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (10)
14 Manu Trigueros
10 Iborra
16 T. Kubo
9 C. Bacca
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
32 Álex Baena
13 G. Rulli
27 José Cabrera
21 Jaume Costa
34 Fer Niño

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
🔒
U
4,49
🔒
B
5,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,49
🔒
U2,5
2,57
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.