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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Bilbao

U U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Osasuna

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 28%

30%

26%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

22%

43%

Both score Ø 52%

43%

61%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 0

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Osasuna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	23	15	7	1	+30	52
2	Barcelona	24	16	4	4	+28	52
3	Getafe	24	12	6	6	+14	42
4	Ath Madrid	24	10	10	4	+8	40
5	Sevilla	24	11	7	6	+6	40
6	Villarreal	24	11	5	8	+10	38
7	Valencia	24	10	8	6	+1	38
8	Sociedad	23	11	4	8	+8	37
9	Granada	24	10	3	11	-2	33
10	Ath Bilbao	23	7	10	6	+4	31
11	Betis	24	7	8	9	-5	29
12	Levante	24	9	2	13	-6	29
13	Osasuna	23	6	10	7	-2	28
14	Alaves	24	7	6	11	-9	27
15	Valladolid	24	5	11	8	-7	26
16	Eibar	23	6	6	11	-10	24
17	Mallorca	24	6	3	15	-16	21
18	Celta	23	4	8	11	-13	20
19	Leganes	24	4	7	13	-18	19
20	Espanol	24	4	7	13	-21	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+27	34
2	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+16	27
3	Valencia	13	7	6	0	+10	27
4	Ath Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
5	Granada	12	8	1	3	+8	25
6	Getafe	12	7	3	2	+11	24
7	Villarreal	12	6	4	2	+10	22
8	Ath Bilbao	11	6	3	2	+8	21
9	Sociedad	11	6	2	3	+11	20
10	Levante	11	6	2	3	+6	20
11	Betis	12	6	2	4	+5	20
12	Sevilla	12	5	5	2	+5	20
13	Mallorca	13	6	2	5	+3	20
14	Alaves	12	5	4	3	+6	19
15	Osasuna	12	4	5	3	+2	17
16	Eibar	11	5	1	5	-2	16
17	Celta	12	3	5	4	-3	14
18	Leganes	13	4	2	7	-6	14
19	Valladolid	11	2	7	2	+3	13
20	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+14	25
2	Sevilla	12	6	2	4	+1	20
3	Getafe	12	5	3	4	+3	18
4	Barcelona	12	5	3	4	+1	18
5	Sociedad	12	5	2	5	-3	17
6	Villarreal	12	5	1	6	+0	16
7	Ath Madrid	12	3	6	3	-1	15
8	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-10	13
9	Espanol	12	3	3	6	-9	12
10	Osasuna	11	2	5	4	-4	11
11	Valencia	11	3	2	6	-9	11
12	Ath Bilbao	12	1	7	4	-4	10
13	Betis	12	1	6	5	-10	9
14	Levante	13	3	0	10	-12	9
15	Eibar	12	1	5	6	-8	8
16	Granada	12	2	2	8	-10	8
17	Alaves	12	2	2	8	-15	8
18	Celta	11	1	3	7	-10	6
19	Leganes	11	0	5	6	-12	5
20	Mallorca	11	0	1	10	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.