Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Waregem
Mouscron
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | +46 | 73 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +29 | 58 |
| 3 |
Charleroi
|
30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | +29 | 58 |
| 4 |
Antwerp
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +20 | 53 |
| 5 |
Standard
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +20 | 52 |
| 6 |
Genk
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +9 | 48 |
| 7 |
Mechelen
|
29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +6 | 41 |
| 9 |
Anderlecht
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +2 | 39 |
| 10 |
St Truiden
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 |
Kortrijk
|
30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -6 | 35 |
| 12 | Mouscron | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 |
Eupen
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge
|
29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -27 | 22 |
| 16 |
Oostende
|
30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -30 | 22 |
| 17 | Waasland-Beveren | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -31 | 20 |
| 18 |
Beveren
|
26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -31 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Charleroi
Waregem
Waregem
Beveren
Waregem
Antwerp
Waregem
Waregem
Genk
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.