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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Sturm Graz

S U S T U

1–2

Full-time

Mattersburg

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Mattersburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

44%

22%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

56%

78%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,1

3,9

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%

26 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

9 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

15 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · Mattersburg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	19	14	3	2	+22	45
2	Salzburg	19	13	5	1	+47	44
3	Wolfsberger AC	19	10	4	5	+21	34
4	SK Rapid	18	9	5	4	+17	32
5	Sturm Graz	18	8	4	6	+10	28
6	Hartberg	19	8	4	7	-7	28
7	Austria Vienna	19	5	7	7	-3	22
8	Altach	19	6	2	11	-9	20
9	St. Polten	18	3	6	9	-26	15
10	Admira	18	3	5	10	-21	14
11	Mattersburg	18	4	2	12	-24	14
12	Tirol	18	3	3	12	-27	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+12	17
3	Hartberg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	LASK	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	Austria Vienna	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Sturm Graz	9	4	1	4	+2	13
7	Altach	10	3	2	5	-2	11
8	SK Rapid	9	2	4	3	+2	10
9	Admira	9	1	3	5	-8	6
10	St. Polten	9	1	3	5	-14	6
11	Mattersburg	9	1	1	7	-14	4
12	Tirol	9	1	1	7	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	10	10	0	0	+17	30
2	SK Rapid	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	Salzburg	9	5	4	0	+18	19
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Sturm Graz	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Hartberg	10	3	2	5	-12	11
7	Mattersburg	9	3	1	5	-10	10
8	Altach	9	3	0	6	-7	9
9	St. Polten	9	2	3	4	-12	9
10	Austria Vienna	10	1	5	4	-6	8
11	Tirol	9	2	2	5	-10	8
12	Admira	9	2	2	5	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.