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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Osasuna

T S U S U

1–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

31%

38%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

38%

15%

Both score Ø 43%

54%

31%

Average goals

2,2

1,6

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

6 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 11. · Ath Bilbao 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+19	28
2	Real Madrid	13	8	4	1	+18	28
3	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+7	25
4	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+3	24
5	Sociedad	14	7	2	5	+5	23
6	Getafe	14	5	6	3	+3	21
7	Granada	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Ath Bilbao	13	5	5	3	+5	20
9	Levante	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Valencia	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Osasuna	13	4	7	2	+3	19
12	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	+7	18
13	Valladolid	13	4	5	4	-3	17
14	Betis	14	4	4	6	-7	16
15	Alaves	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Eibar	13	4	3	6	-7	15
17	Mallorca	14	4	2	8	-8	14
18	Celta	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Espanol	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Leganes	14	1	3	10	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+12	17
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Alaves	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Betis	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+5	13
10	Granada	7	4	1	2	+3	13
11	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+9	12
12	Osasuna	6	3	3	0	+5	12
13	Getafe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
14	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
15	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+5	10
16	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
17	Eibar	6	3	0	3	-4	9
18	Celta	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+0	13
2	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Barcelona	7	3	1	3	+1	10
5	Ath Madrid	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Getafe	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Granada	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-8	8
10	Osasuna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	Villarreal	7	2	0	5	-2	6
13	Eibar	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Levante	7	2	0	5	-4	6
15	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Celta	6	0	2	4	-8	2
17	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
18	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
19	Alaves	6	0	1	5	-11	1
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.