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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Lugano
U U T U T
2–1
Full-time
Young Boys
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
24%
62%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 7. · Young Boys 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 21 14 2 5 +21 44
2 Young Boys 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Basel 22 12 3 7 +24 39
4 Servette 21 9 6 6 +12 33
5 Zurich 21 9 4 8 -14 31
6 Luzern 21 8 3 10 -6 27
7 Lugano 21 5 7 9 -4 22
8 Sion 22 6 4 12 -13 22
9 Xamax 22 3 9 10 -13 18
10 Thun 22 5 3 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Dec -19 Lugano – Young Boys 0–0 4. Aug -19 Young Boys – Lugano 2–0

Match report

Lugano Young Boys
1–0 F. Holender ⚽
M. Čovilo
17′
Filip Holender 🟨
25′
Miroslav Čovilo 🟨
29′
Alexander Gerndt 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Sulejmani
↦ M. Spielmann
Marco Aratore 🟨
54′
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ F. Holender
70′
76′
🟨 Jordan Lefort
R. Selasi 🔁
↦ M. Aratore
78′
78′
🔁 G. Gaudino
↦ C. Martins Pereira
78′
🔁 S. Ballet
↦ S. Janko
2–0 A. Gerndt ⚽
S. Lovric
84′
Alexander Gerndt 🟨
88′
Alexander Gerndt 🟥
88′
89′
⚽ S. Ballet 2–1
A. Kecskés 🔁
↦ S. Lovric
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

4-1-4-1
46 N. Baumann G
30 F. Daprelà D
28 F. Sulmoni D
16 N. Lavanchy D
18 E. Yao D
70 M. Aratore M
6 M. Čovilo M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
19 A. Gerndt F
11 F. Holender M
Bench (7)
8 C. Lungoyi
47 R. Selasi
4 A. Kecskés
1 D. da Costa
29 D. Jovanovic
74 S. Piazza
27 F. Sasere

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort D
23 S. Janko D
21 U. Garcia D
35 C. Martins Pereira M
16 C. Fassnacht M
7 M. Spielmann M
20 M. Aebischer M
99 G. Hoarau F
19 F. Mambimbi F
Bench (7)
10 M. Sulejmani
11 G. Gaudino
62 S. Ballet
14 N. Bürgy
5 C. Zesiger
1 M. Wölfli
6 E. Petignat

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.