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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Brest

S S T U U

3–2

Full-time

St Etienne

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 31%

29%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 48%

46%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 5

0 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 13. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	20	2	3	+46	62
2	Marseille	24	14	7	3	+12	49
3	Rennes	24	12	5	7	+7	41
4	Lille	24	12	4	8	+4	40
5	Monaco	25	11	5	9	+1	38
6	Montpellier	25	10	7	8	+4	37
7	Strasbourg	25	11	4	10	+3	37
8	Nice	25	10	6	9	+2	36
9	Bordeaux	25	9	8	8	+7	35
10	Lyon	25	9	7	9	+12	34
11	Nantes	25	10	4	11	-2	34
12	Reims	24	8	9	7	+3	33
13	Brest	24	7	9	8	-2	30
14	Angers	25	8	6	11	-9	30
15	Metz	25	6	10	9	-8	28
16	St Etienne	24	8	4	12	-13	28
17	Nimes	25	7	6	12	-12	27
18	Dijon	25	6	8	11	-7	26
19	Amiens	25	4	9	12	-18	21
20	Toulouse	25	3	4	18	-30	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	10	1	1	+28	31
2	Montpellier	13	9	2	2	+13	29
3	Lille	12	9	2	1	+12	29
4	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+9	27
5	Monaco	13	8	1	4	+7	25
6	Nice	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Strasbourg	12	7	2	3	+8	23
8	Rennes	12	7	2	3	+5	23
9	Brest	12	5	6	1	+10	21
10	Angers	13	6	3	4	+4	21
11	Dijon	12	5	5	2	+4	20
12	Nimes	13	6	2	5	+3	20
13	Nantes	13	6	2	5	+1	20
14	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
15	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	+7	16
16	Reims	12	3	7	2	+3	16
17	Metz	12	4	4	4	+2	16
18	St Etienne	12	4	4	4	-3	16
19	Amiens	13	3	5	5	-5	14
20	Toulouse	12	3	0	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Marseille	12	6	4	2	+3	22
3	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+0	19
4	Lyon	13	5	3	5	+4	18
5	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Reims	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Nantes	12	4	2	6	-3	14
8	Strasbourg	13	4	2	7	-5	14
9	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-6	13
10	Nice	12	3	3	6	-5	12
11	St Etienne	12	4	0	8	-10	12
12	Metz	13	2	6	5	-10	12
13	Lille	12	3	2	7	-8	11
14	Brest	12	2	3	7	-12	9
15	Angers	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Montpellier	12	1	5	6	-9	8
17	Amiens	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Nimes	12	1	4	7	-15	7
19	Dijon	13	1	3	9	-11	6
20	Toulouse	13	0	4	9	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.