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LaLiga2
Fuenlabrada
U U T T U
0–1
Full-time
Lugo
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fuenlabrada Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
0,7
2,3
Scored
0,2
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
33%
19%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 1
18 Free kicks against 32
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fuenlabrada 8. · Lugo 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 27 15 7 5 +13 52
2 Zaragoza 27 13 8 6 +12 47
3 Almeria 28 12 10 6 +16 46
4 Huesca 28 14 4 10 +7 46
5 Girona 28 12 6 10 +3 42
6 Elche 28 10 10 8 +6 40
7 Numancia 28 9 11 8 +4 38
8 Fuenlabrada 27 9 11 7 +3 38
9 Alcorcon 28 8 13 7 +1 37
10 Ponferradina 27 8 12 7 +4 36
11 Mirandes 26 8 12 6 -1 36
12 Las Palmas 28 9 9 10 -1 36
13 Vallecano 26 7 14 5 +5 35
14 La Coruna 28 8 10 10 -12 34
15 Tenerife 27 8 8 11 -1 32
16 Sp Gijon 27 8 8 11 -4 32
17 Malaga 27 6 13 8 -2 31
18 Oviedo 28 6 11 11 -7 29
19 Albacete 26 8 5 13 -13 29
20 Extremadura UD 27 6 8 13 -13 26
21 Lugo 27 5 11 11 -14 26
22 Santander 27 3 15 9 -6 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -19 Lugo – Fuenlabrada 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U
3,34
B ✓
5,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.