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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Ath Bilbao
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Osasuna
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
56%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 78%
78%
78%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
18 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
5 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Osasuna 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +18 24
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +18 22
3 Ath Madrid 10 6 3 1 +19 21
4 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +5 21
5 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +10 19
6 Sociedad 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +2 15
8 Ath Bilbao 9 5 0 4 +2 15
9 Celta 9 4 1 4 -4 13
10 Las Palmas 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Malaga 10 3 3 4 +0 12
12 Betis 9 3 2 4 -8 11
13 Alaves 10 2 4 4 -5 10
14 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -10 10
15 Valencia 9 3 0 6 -5 9
16 Sp Gijon 10 2 3 5 -11 9
17 Espanol 9 1 5 3 -5 8
18 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
19 Osasuna 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Granada 10 0 3 7 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Osasuna
23′
Oriol Riera 0–1
Roberto Torres
1–1 Raúl García
Sabin
28′
33′
🔁 Fausto Tienza
↦ D. Digard
40′
🔁 Kenan
↦ Oriol Riera
Half-time 1–1
Lekue 🔁
↦ De Marcos
46′
Aduriz 🔁
↦ Sabin
54′
Iker Muniain 🟨
60′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Beñat
66′
Mikel Rico 🟨
71′
74′
🟨 Oier
83′
🔁 Antonio Otegui
↦ Sergio León
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
16 Etxeita D
4 A. Laporte D
22 Raúl García M
7 Beñat M
18 De Marcos D
10 Muniain F
19 Sabin F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
15 Lekue
20 Aduriz
17 Mikel Rico
5 Eraso
14 Susaeta
26 Kepa
27 Yeray Álvarez

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Osasuna

5-3-2
13 Nauzet Pérez G
4 Miguel Flaño D
6 Oier D
5 David García D
15 Unai García D
23 D. Digard M
20 De las Cuevas M
10 Roberto Torres M
11 Álex Berenguer F
9 Oriol Riera F
7 Sergio León F
Bench (7)
14 Fausto Tienza
19 Kenan
36 Antonio Otegui
1 Mario
17 Jaime Romero
18 Fran Mérida
34 Aitor Buñuel

Coach: Enrique Martín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.