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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Antwerp
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 55%
54%
55%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
64%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
71%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
6 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 10
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 4. · Charleroi 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 22 7 1 +46 73
2 Gent 29 17 7 5 +29 58
3 Charleroi 29 16 9 4 +29 57
4 Antwerp 28 15 7 6 +20 52
5 Standard 29 14 7 8 +18 49
6 Genk 29 14 6 9 +11 48
7 Mechelen 29 13 5 11 -1 44
8 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
9 Anderlecht 29 9 12 8 +2 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 6 14 -11 36
11 Kortrijk 30 10 5 15 -6 35
12 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
14 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -20 30
15 Cercle Brugge 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Oostende 30 6 4 20 -30 22
17 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20
18 Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Charleroi
1–0 Ivo Rodrigues
16′
Sinan Bolat 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–1
51′
S. Nicholson 1–1
D. Dessoleil
M. Benson 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
56′
60′
🟨 Shamar Nicholson
K. Mirallas 🔁
↦ Ivo Rodrigues
70′
73′
🟨 Dorian Dessoleil
79′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
80′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ J. Kayembe
83′
🟨 Ryota Morioka
Z. Gano 🔁
↦ A. De Sart
85′
85′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ K. Rezaei
Kevin Mirallas 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-1-2-3
1 S. Bolat G
2 R. De Laet D
15 D. Arslanagic D
30 Buta D
3 A. Seck D
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
25 A. De Sart M
70 D. Mbokani F
8 Ivo Rodrigues M
7 D. Lamkel Ze F
Bench (7)
28 M. Benson
87 K. Mirallas
93 Z. Gano
39 J. Teunckens
6 S. Juklerød
18 M. Hongla
16 S. Defour

Coach: L. Bölöni

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
4 M. Busi D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
12 J. Kayembe F
27 M. Fall F
10 K. Rezaei F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
8 A. Gholizadeh
18 F. Tsadjout
5 M. Diagne
40 R. Descamps
20 J. Amani
7 D. Henen
22 G. Hendrickx

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U ✓
3,44
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.