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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Osasuna

T U U S T

1–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

27%

64%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 12. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	22	14	7	1	+27	49
2	Barcelona	22	14	4	4	+26	46
3	Getafe	23	12	6	5	+15	42
4	Ath Madrid	23	10	9	4	+8	39
5	Sevilla	22	11	6	5	+7	39
6	Sociedad	23	11	4	8	+8	37
7	Valencia	23	10	7	6	+1	37
8	Villarreal	23	10	5	8	+9	35
9	Ath Bilbao	23	7	10	6	+4	31
10	Granada	23	9	3	11	-3	30
11	Levante	23	9	2	12	-5	29
12	Osasuna	22	6	10	6	+1	28
13	Betis	22	7	7	8	-4	28
14	Alaves	23	7	6	10	-8	27
15	Valladolid	23	5	11	7	-6	26
16	Eibar	23	6	6	11	-10	24
17	Mallorca	23	5	3	15	-17	18
18	Leganes	23	4	6	13	-18	18
19	Espanol	23	4	6	13	-21	18
20	Celta	22	3	8	11	-14	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+26	31
2	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+16	27
3	Valencia	12	7	5	0	+10	26
4	Ath Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
5	Getafe	12	7	3	2	+11	24
6	Granada	11	7	1	3	+7	22
7	Ath Bilbao	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Sociedad	11	6	2	3	+11	20
9	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
10	Levante	11	6	2	3	+6	20
11	Villarreal	11	5	4	2	+9	19
12	Alaves	12	5	4	3	+6	19
13	Sevilla	11	5	4	2	+5	19
14	Osasuna	11	4	5	2	+5	17
15	Mallorca	12	5	2	5	+2	17
16	Eibar	11	5	1	5	-2	16
17	Valladolid	11	2	7	2	+3	13
18	Leganes	12	4	1	7	-6	13
19	Celta	11	2	5	4	-4	11
20	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+11	22
2	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
3	Getafe	11	5	3	3	+4	18
4	Sociedad	12	5	2	5	-3	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	1	6	+0	16
6	Barcelona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Ath Madrid	11	3	5	3	-1	14
8	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	-9	13
9	Osasuna	11	2	5	4	-4	11
10	Valencia	11	3	2	6	-9	11
11	Espanol	11	3	2	6	-9	11
12	Ath Bilbao	12	1	7	4	-4	10
13	Levante	12	3	0	9	-11	9
14	Eibar	12	1	5	6	-8	8
15	Granada	12	2	2	8	-10	8
16	Betis	11	1	5	5	-10	8
17	Alaves	11	2	2	7	-14	8
18	Celta	11	1	3	7	-10	6
19	Leganes	11	0	5	6	-12	5
20	Mallorca	11	0	1	10	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.