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Serie A

Referee: M Irrati

Sampdoria

S T U T S

1–5

Full-time

Fiorentina

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

26%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

61%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sampdoria 17. · Fiorentina 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	23	16	6	1	+28	54
2	Juventus	23	17	3	3	+21	54
3	Lazio	23	16	5	2	+33	53
4	Atalanta	24	13	6	5	+31	45
5	Roma	24	11	6	7	+11	39
6	Verona	24	9	8	7	+4	35
7	Bologna	24	9	6	9	-2	33
8	Cagliari	23	8	8	7	+3	32
9	Parma	23	9	5	9	+1	32
10	Milan	23	9	5	9	-6	32
11	Napoli	23	8	6	9	+2	30
12	Sassuolo	23	8	5	10	+0	29
13	Torino	23	8	3	12	-15	27
14	Udinese	24	7	5	12	-16	26
15	Fiorentina	23	6	7	10	-8	25
16	Lecce	24	6	7	11	-13	25
17	Sampdoria	23	6	5	12	-13	23
18	Genoa	24	5	7	12	-16	22
19	Brescia	23	4	4	15	-21	16
20	Spal	24	4	3	17	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Lazio	12	9	3	0	+26	30
3	Inter	12	7	4	1	+13	25
4	Verona	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Atalanta	12	6	2	4	+14	20
6	Parma	12	6	1	5	+6	19
7	Roma	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Udinese	12	5	3	4	-2	18
9	Cagliari	11	5	2	4	+4	17
10	Sassuolo	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Bologna	12	4	4	4	-2	16
12	Napoli	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Milan	11	3	5	3	-2	14
14	Torino	12	4	2	6	-11	14
15	Sampdoria	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-3	13
17	Fiorentina	12	3	4	5	-4	13
18	Lecce	12	2	5	5	-2	11
19	Spal	11	2	2	7	-8	8
20	Brescia	12	1	3	8	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Atalanta	12	7	4	1	+17	25
3	Lazio	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Juventus	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Roma	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Milan	12	6	0	6	-4	18
7	Bologna	12	5	2	5	+0	17
8	Napoli	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Cagliari	12	3	6	3	-1	15
10	Verona	12	3	5	4	-1	14
11	Lecce	12	4	2	6	-11	14
12	Torino	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
14	Parma	11	3	4	4	-5	13
15	Fiorentina	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Sampdoria	11	3	1	7	-10	10
17	Brescia	11	3	1	7	-10	10
18	Genoa	13	1	6	6	-13	9
19	Udinese	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Spal	13	2	1	10	-16	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.