Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 2 |
Cracovia
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 39 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +7 | 39 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | +6 | 36 |
| 5 |
Lech Poznan
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 34 |
| 6 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 34 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 34 |
| 8 |
Wisla Plock
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 31 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Rakow
|
22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 |
Zaglebie
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 |
| 12 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 13 |
Korona Kielce
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 |
Wisla
|
21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -19 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie
Rakow
Jagiellonia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.