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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
T T S T T
0–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
57%
24%
Both score Ø 36%
52%
19%
Average goals
2,9
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 9. · Korona Kielce 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 22 13 3 6 +22 42
2 Cracovia 21 12 3 6 +14 39
3 Pogon Szczecin 22 11 6 5 +7 39
4 Slask Wroclaw 22 9 9 4 +6 36
5 Lech Poznan 21 9 7 5 +16 34
6 Lechia Gdansk 22 9 7 6 +2 34
7 Piast Gliwice 22 10 4 8 +2 34
8 Wisla Plock 22 9 4 9 -8 31
9 Jagiellonia 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Rakow 22 9 2 11 -8 29
11 Zaglebie 21 8 4 9 +1 28
12 Gornik Zabrze 22 6 9 7 -1 27
13 Korona Kielce 21 6 4 11 -12 22
14 Arka Gdynia 22 5 6 11 -14 21
15 Wisla 21 6 2 13 -10 20
16 LKS Lodz 22 4 3 15 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.