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La Liga

Referee: Valentín Pizarro

Villarreal

S S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Osasuna

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

76%

38%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 8. · Osasuna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	22	14	7	1	+27	49
2	Barcelona	21	13	4	4	+25	43
3	Getafe	22	11	6	5	+12	39
4	Sevilla	21	11	5	5	+7	38
5	Valencia	22	10	7	5	+4	37
6	Ath Madrid	22	9	9	4	+7	36
7	Sociedad	22	10	4	8	+7	34
8	Villarreal	21	9	4	8	+7	31
9	Ath Bilbao	22	7	10	5	+5	31
10	Granada	22	9	3	10	-2	30
11	Osasuna	21	6	10	5	+3	28
12	Betis	22	7	7	8	-4	28
13	Levante	21	8	2	11	-6	26
14	Valladolid	22	5	10	7	-6	25
15	Eibar	22	6	6	10	-9	24
16	Alaves	21	6	5	10	-9	23
17	Mallorca	22	5	3	14	-16	18
18	Leganes	22	4	6	12	-16	18
19	Celta	22	3	8	11	-14	17
20	Espanol	22	3	6	13	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+16	27
3	Valencia	12	7	5	0	+10	26
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	4	1	+8	22
5	Granada	11	7	1	3	+7	22
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Ath Bilbao	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+5	18
10	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+10	17
11	Osasuna	11	4	5	2	+5	17
12	Levante	10	5	2	3	+4	17
13	Mallorca	12	5	2	5	+2	17
14	Villarreal	10	4	4	2	+7	16
15	Alaves	11	4	4	3	+5	16
16	Eibar	11	5	1	5	-2	16
17	Leganes	12	4	1	7	-6	13
18	Valladolid	10	2	6	2	+3	12
19	Celta	11	2	5	4	-4	11
20	Espanol	11	0	4	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+11	22
2	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
3	Getafe	11	5	3	3	+4	18
4	Sociedad	12	5	2	5	-3	17
5	Villarreal	11	5	0	6	+0	15
6	Barcelona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Ath Madrid	11	3	5	3	-1	14
8	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	-9	13
9	Osasuna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
10	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Espanol	11	3	2	6	-9	11
12	Ath Bilbao	11	1	7	3	-3	10
13	Levante	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-7	8
15	Granada	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Betis	11	1	5	5	-10	8
17	Alaves	10	2	1	7	-14	7
18	Celta	11	1	3	7	-10	6
19	Leganes	10	0	5	5	-10	5
20	Mallorca	10	0	1	9	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.