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Super League

Referee: D Karantonis

Aris Thessalonikis

T S T S U

0–1

Full-time

AEK

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — Super League · 23/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

35%

56%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

43%

44%

Both score Ø 51%

57%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 4

1 Shots on target 1

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 36

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	26	20	6	0	+44	66
2	PAOK	26	18	5	3	+26	59
3	AEK	25	14	6	5	+17	48
4	Panathinaikos	26	11	8	7	+5	41
5	Aris Thessalonikis	23	8	9	6	+8	33
6	Aris	24	8	9	7	+7	33
7	OFI Crete	25	9	5	11	+1	32
8	Asteras Tripolis	26	8	6	12	-2	30
9	Larisa	26	7	9	10	-7	30
10	Xanthi	26	8	5	13	-12	29
11	Volos NFC	26	8	5	13	-19	29
12	Atromitos	24	7	6	11	-6	27
13	Lamia	25	5	12	8	-11	27
14	Panetolikos	26	3	8	15	-21	17
15	Panionios	26	4	5	17	-30	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	PAOK	13	10	3	0	+20	33
3	AEK	13	8	4	1	+15	28
4	Panathinaikos	13	7	3	3	+10	24
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+14	23
6	Aris	12	7	2	3	+13	23
7	OFI Crete	12	7	2	3	+11	23
8	Asteras Tripolis	13	6	4	3	+7	22
9	Volos NFC	13	6	2	5	-2	20
10	Atromitos	13	4	5	4	+4	17
11	Xanthi	13	4	4	5	+0	16
12	Larisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Lamia	12	3	7	2	-2	16
14	Panetolikos	13	3	5	5	-3	14
15	Panionios	13	3	4	6	-2	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	8	5	0	+17	29
2	PAOK	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	AEK	12	6	2	4	+2	20
4	Panathinaikos	13	4	5	4	-5	17
5	Larisa	13	3	5	5	-6	14
6	Xanthi	13	4	1	8	-12	13
7	Lamia	13	2	5	6	-9	11
8	Aris	12	1	7	4	-6	10
9	Aris Thessalonikis	12	1	7	4	-6	10
10	Atromitos	11	3	1	7	-10	10
11	OFI Crete	13	2	3	8	-10	9
12	Volos NFC	13	2	3	8	-17	9
13	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	2	9	-9	8
14	Panionios	13	1	1	11	-28	4
15	Panetolikos	13	0	3	10	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.