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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Sevilla
U T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Espanol
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
48%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
30%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Espanol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 15 7 1 +30 52
2 Barcelona 24 16 4 4 +28 52
3 Getafe 24 12 6 6 +14 42
4 Ath Madrid 24 10 10 4 +8 40
5 Sevilla 23 11 6 6 +6 39
6 Villarreal 24 11 5 8 +10 38
7 Valencia 24 10 8 6 +1 38
8 Sociedad 23 11 4 8 +8 37
9 Granada 24 10 3 11 -2 33
10 Ath Bilbao 23 7 10 6 +4 31
11 Levante 24 9 2 13 -6 29
12 Osasuna 23 6 10 7 -2 28
13 Betis 23 7 7 9 -5 28
14 Alaves 24 7 6 11 -9 27
15 Valladolid 24 5 11 8 -7 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Mallorca 24 6 3 15 -16 21
18 Celta 23 4 8 11 -13 20
19 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
20 Espanol 23 4 6 13 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Espanol
1–0 L. Ocampos
Suso
15′
Sergi Gómez 🟨
33′
35′
Adri Embarba 1–1
38′
🟨 Wu Lei
Half-time 1–1
Nolito 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
46′
49′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
50′
Wu Lei 1–2
J. Calleri
N. Gudelj 🔁
↦ Reguilón
54′
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
58′
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ É. Banega
65′
69′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
69′
🟥 Víctor Sánchez
72′
🔁 Víctor Gómez
↦ Wu Lei
74′
🔁 Fernando Calero
↦ Adri Embarba
2–2 Suso
L. Ocampos
80′
82′
🔁 F. Ferreyra
↦ J. Calleri
84′
🟨 Marc Roca
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
3 Sergi Gómez D
20 Diego Carlos D
23 Sergio Reguilón D
22 Franco Vázquez M
25 Fernando M
10 Éver Banega M
14 Suso F
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
5 Lucas Ocampos F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
18 Sergio Escudero
12 Jules Koundé
17 Nemanja Gudelj
8 Nolito
11 Munir El Haddadi
19 Luuk de Jong

Coach: Lopetegui

Espanol

4-2-3-1
13 Diego López G
16 Javi López D
20 Bernardo Espinosa D
18 Leandro Cabrera D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
21 Marc Roca M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
7 Wu Lei M
10 Sergi Darder M
23 Adrián Embarba M
12 Jonathan Calleri F
Bench (7)
1 Andrés Prieto
24 Fernando Calero
34 Victor Gómez
8 Ander Iturraspe
22 Matías Vargas
14 Óscar Melendo
9 Facundo Ferreyra

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,60
U ✓
3,91
B
6,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.