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La Liga

Referee: David Medié

Ath Bilbao

S T U U U

1–1

Full-time

Celta

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

37%

16%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

21%

37%

Both score Ø 45%

37%

53%

Average goals

1,7

2,4

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

22 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 0

2 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	20	12	7	1	+25	43
2	Barcelona	19	12	4	3	+26	40
3	Ath Madrid	20	9	8	3	+8	35
4	Sevilla	20	10	5	5	+5	35
5	Getafe	20	9	6	5	+9	33
6	Sociedad	20	9	4	7	+5	31
7	Valencia	20	8	7	5	+1	31
8	Ath Bilbao	19	7	8	4	+7	29
9	Villarreal	20	8	4	8	+6	28
10	Granada	19	8	3	8	+0	27
11	Betis	20	7	6	7	-3	27
12	Levante	20	8	2	10	-4	26
13	Osasuna	20	5	10	5	+1	25
14	Alaves	20	6	5	9	-8	23
15	Valladolid	20	4	10	6	-6	22
16	Eibar	20	6	4	10	-9	22
17	Mallorca	20	5	3	12	-12	18
18	Celta	19	3	6	10	-13	15
19	Leganes	20	3	5	12	-17	14
20	Espanol	20	3	5	12	-21	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+15	24
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Valencia	10	5	5	0	+7	20
6	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Granada	10	6	1	3	+6	19
8	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Levante	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Mallorca	11	5	2	4	+3	17
11	Villarreal	10	4	4	2	+7	16
12	Alaves	10	4	4	2	+6	16
13	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
14	Eibar	10	5	0	5	-2	15
15	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+7	14
16	Osasuna	10	3	5	2	+3	14
17	Valladolid	9	2	6	1	+4	12
18	Celta	10	2	4	4	-4	10
19	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Espanol	10	0	3	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Barcelona	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
6	Ath Madrid	10	3	5	2	+0	14
7	Villarreal	10	4	0	6	-1	12
8	Osasuna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Espanol	10	3	2	5	-8	11
11	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-10	10
12	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-3	9
13	Levante	10	3	0	7	-8	9
14	Granada	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Betis	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	10	2	1	7	-14	7
18	Celta	9	1	2	6	-9	5
19	Leganes	9	0	4	5	-10	4
20	Mallorca	9	0	1	8	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.