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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Sociedad
S T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
1,3
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
45%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
68%
18%
Both score Ø 53%
64%
41%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sociedad 8. · Ath Bilbao 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 14 7 1 +27 49
2 Barcelona 22 14 4 4 +26 46
3 Getafe 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Ath Madrid 23 10 9 4 +8 39
5 Sevilla 22 11 6 5 +7 39
6 Valencia 23 10 7 6 +1 37
7 Villarreal 23 10 5 8 +9 35
8 Sociedad 22 10 4 8 +7 34
9 Ath Bilbao 22 7 10 5 +5 31
10 Granada 23 9 3 11 -3 30
11 Levante 23 9 2 12 -5 29
12 Osasuna 22 6 10 6 +1 28
13 Betis 22 7 7 8 -4 28
14 Alaves 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Valladolid 23 5 11 7 -6 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Mallorca 23 5 3 15 -17 18
18 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
19 Espanol 23 4 6 13 -21 18
20 Celta 22 3 8 11 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Muniain
↦ K. Kodro
A. Isak 🔁
↦ Willian José
55′
55′
🔁 Williams
↦ Asier Villalibre
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ Sangalli
59′
62′
🔁 Dani García
↦ Beñat
Portu 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Ander Capa
1–0 Portu
A. Isak
65′
71′
Williams 1–1
Muniain
Elustondo 🔁
↦ Guevara
77′
81′
🟨 Dani García
2–1 A. Isak
83′
Alexander Isak 🟨
89′
89′
🟥 Iker Muniain
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
8 Mikel Merino M
16 Ander Guevara M
7 Portu M
23 Luca Sangalli M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
9 Willian José F
Bench (7)
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà
20 Nacho Monreal
6 Aritz Elustondo
36 Martín Zubimendi
11 Adnan Januzaj
19 Alexander Isak
22 Ander Barrenetxea

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
3 Unai Núñez D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
24 Mikel Balenziaga D
6 Mikel San José M
7 Beñat Etxebarria M
15 Íñigo Lekue M
23 Kenan Kodro M
19 Ibai Gómez M
25 Asier Villalibre F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
29 Daniel Vivian
14 Dani García
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
9 Iñaki Williams
10 Iker Muniain
20 Aritz Aduriz

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,20
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.