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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Luzern
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
St. Gallen
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
38%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
48%
81%
Both score Ø 60%
43%
76%
Average goals
2,5
3,6
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 13
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · St. Gallen 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 21 14 2 5 +21 44
2 Young Boys 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Basel 22 12 3 7 +24 39
4 Servette 21 9 6 6 +12 33
5 Zurich 21 9 4 8 -14 31
6 Luzern 21 8 3 10 -6 27
7 Lugano 21 5 7 9 -4 22
8 Sion 22 6 4 12 -13 22
9 Xamax 22 3 9 10 -13 18
10 Thun 22 5 3 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Dec -19 Luzern – St. Gallen 1–4 20. Jul -19 St. Gallen – Luzern 0–2

Match report

Luzern St. Gallen
David Mistrafović 🟨
17′
1–0 F. Margiotta ⚽
30′
31′
🟨 Lawrence Ati
37′
🟨 Silvan Hefti
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 A. Bakayoko
↦ L. Görtler
Darian Males 🟨
60′
63′
🟨 Axel Bakayoko
M. Schulz 🔁
↦ D. Mistrafovic
63′
Stefan Knezevic 🟨
68′
B. Eleke 🔁
↦ F. Margiotta
76′
M. Bürki 🔁
↦ D. Males
84′
86′
🔁 André Ribeiro
↦ J. Guillemenot
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
5 Lucão D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
11 P. Schürpf M
8 W. Ndenge M
25 D. Mistrafovic M
9 F. Margiotta F
7 I. Ndiaye M
29 D. Males F
Bench (7)
15 M. Schulz
10 B. Eleke
6 M. Bürki
17 S. Grether
31 L. Emini
20 S. Demhasaj
23 S. Enzler

Coach: F. Celestini

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
30 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
36 S. Hefti D
98 Y. Letard D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
16 L. Görtler M
13 C. Itten F
34 B. Babic M
9 J. Guillemenot M
10 E. Demirović F
Bench (7)
11 A. Bakayoko
19 André Ribeiro
26 T. Staubli
22 Adonis Ajeti
23 B. Fazliji
29 A. Kräuchi
18 J. Klinsmann

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.