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Super League
Referee: G Kominis
Panathinaikos
S S S S T
3–1
Full-time
Panetolikos
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
40%
12%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
32%
44%
Both score Ø 38%
32%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Panetolikos 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 26 20 6 0 +44 66
2 PAOK 26 18 5 3 +26 59
3 AEK 24 13 6 5 +16 45
4 Panathinaikos 25 10 8 7 +3 38
5 Aris 23 8 9 6 +8 33
6 Aris Thessalonikis 23 8 9 6 +8 33
7 OFI Crete 25 9 5 11 +1 32
8 Larisa 26 7 9 10 -7 30
9 Volos NFC 25 8 5 12 -18 29
10 Xanthi 25 8 4 13 -12 28
11 Asteras Tripolis 25 7 6 12 -3 27
12 Atromitos 24 7 6 11 -6 27
13 Lamia 24 5 11 8 -11 26
14 Panetolikos 25 3 8 14 -19 17
15 Panionios 26 4 5 17 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
João Nunes 🔁
↦ D. Kolovetsios
6′
1–0 G. Vagiannidis
23′
2–0 G. Zahid
G. Vagiannidis
39′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 F. Macheda
49′
58′
🔁 Frederico Duarte
↦ A. Mounier
59′
🔁 Mimito Biai
↦ J. Álvarez
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ G. Vagiannidis
61′
Christos Donis 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 D. Fytopoulos
↦ Farley Rosa
73′
🟨 Alexandros Malis
D. Nagy 🔁
↦ D. Kourmpelis
79′
80′
🟨 Dalcio
91′
A. Dauda 3–1
Kevin
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dioudis G
4 D. Kolovetsios D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
44 A. Poungouras D
57 G. Vagiannidis D
21 D. Kourmpelis M
10 G. Zahid M
8 C. Donis M
16 K. Apostolakis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
9 F. Macheda F
Bench (7)
30 João Nunes
20 Y. Ayoub
22 D. Nagy
26 A. Tuhami
99 A. Kampetsis
15 V. Xenopoulos
18 I. Bouzoukis

Coach: G. Donis

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
88 Jesús Fernández G
23 Kevin D
92 R. Sjöstedt M
47 A. Malis D
17 A. Mounier F
6 A. Tahar M
7 Farley Rosa M
10 Dálcio M
15 J. Álvarez
37 A. Tsigaras
25 A. Dauda F
Bench (6)
14 Frederico Duarte
8 Mimito Biai
20 D. Fytopoulos
9 A. Bajrovic
31 N. Giannakopoulos
19 A. Kavvadias

Coach: I. Chavos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
4,49
B
9,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Kominis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.