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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Espanol
T U T U S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
15%
35%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 20. · Ath Bilbao 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 20 13 4 3 +27 43
2 Real Madrid 20 12 7 1 +25 43
3 Ath Madrid 20 9 8 3 +8 35
4 Sevilla 20 10 5 5 +5 35
5 Getafe 20 9 6 5 +9 33
6 Sociedad 20 9 4 7 +5 31
7 Valencia 20 8 7 5 +1 31
8 Ath Bilbao 20 7 9 4 +7 30
9 Villarreal 20 8 4 8 +6 28
10 Osasuna 21 6 10 5 +3 28
11 Granada 20 8 3 9 -1 27
12 Betis 20 7 6 7 -3 27
13 Levante 21 8 2 11 -6 26
14 Alaves 20 6 5 9 -8 23
15 Valladolid 20 4 10 6 -6 22
16 Eibar 20 6 4 10 -9 22
17 Mallorca 20 5 3 12 -12 18
18 Celta 20 3 7 10 -13 16
19 Leganes 20 3 5 12 -17 14
20 Espanol 20 3 5 12 -21 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Ath Bilbao
9′
🟨 Mikel Vesga
12′
Asier Villalibre 0–1
Muniain
Víctor Sánchez 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–1
Marc Roca 🟨
56′
Adri Embarba 🔁
↦ Melendo
57′
Bernardo Espinosa 🟨
59′
Lluís López 🔁
↦ Víctor Sánchez
61′
1–1 Raúl de Tomás
Adri Embarba
63′
69′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Williams
82′
🔁 Beñat
↦ Muniain
Wu Lei 🔁
↦ J. Calleri
83′
84′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ Asier Villalibre
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
4 Víctor Sánchez D
20 Bernardo Espinosa D
18 Leandro Cabrera D
17 Dídac Vila D
14 Óscar Melendo M
21 Marc Roca M
15 David López M
10 Sergi Darder M
12 Jonathan Calleri F
11 Raúl de Tomás F
Bench (7)
1 Andrés Prieto
5 Naldo
6 Lluis López
22 Matías Vargas
8 Ander Iturraspe
7 Wu Lei
25 Adrián Embarba

Coach: Abelardo

Ath Bilbao

5-3-2
13 Iago Herrerín G
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
3 Unai Núñez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
10 Iker Muniain M
14 Dani García M
16 Mikel Vesga M
9 Iñaki Williams F
25 Asier Villalibre F
Bench (7)
31 Jokin Ezkieta
15 Íñigo Lekue
7 Beñat Etxebarria
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
22 Raúl García
19 Ibai Gómez
23 Kenan Kodro

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
2,96
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,65
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.