La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Espanol
Ath Bilbao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | +27 | 43 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | +25 | 43 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +8 | 35 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +5 | 35 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 31 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | +7 | 30 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 28 |
| 11 |
Granada
|
20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 14 |
Alaves
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 23 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -6 | 22 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -12 | 18 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 14 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -21 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Leandro Cabrera
D
Marc Roca
M
David López
M
Sergi Darder
M
Coach: Abelardo
Yeray Álvarez
D
Unai Núñez
D
Yuri Berchiche
D
Dani García
M
Mikel Vesga
M
Iñaki Williams
F
Asier Villalibre
F
Coach: Gaizka Garitano
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Espanol
Espanol
Barcelona
Leganes
Espanol
Espanol
Betis
Real Madrid
Espanol
José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.