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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

S S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

48%

67%

Both score Ø 64%

52%

76%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

6 Corners 1

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 8. · Holstein Kiel 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	22	12	8	2	+24	44
2	Hamburg	22	11	8	3	+24	41
3	Stuttgart	21	11	5	5	+12	38
4	Heidenheim	22	9	8	5	+7	35
5	Regensburg	22	9	5	8	-2	32
6	Greuther Furth	22	9	4	9	+2	31
7	Holstein Kiel	21	8	6	7	+2	30
8	Erzgebirge Aue	21	8	6	7	-1	30
9	Osnabruck	21	7	6	8	+3	27
10	Sandhausen	21	6	9	6	+0	27
11	Darmstadt	21	5	11	5	-4	26
12	Hannover	22	6	8	8	-7	26
13	Nurnberg	22	6	8	8	-8	26
14	St Pauli	22	5	8	9	-3	23
15	Bochum	21	5	8	8	-5	23
16	Wehen	22	5	6	11	-15	21
17	Karlsruhe	21	4	8	9	-12	20
18	Dresden	22	4	6	12	-17	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	11	9	0	2	+16	27
2	Hamburg	10	8	1	1	+19	25
3	Erzgebirge Aue	10	7	3	0	+11	24
4	Heidenheim	12	6	4	2	+9	22
5	Regensburg	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	St Pauli	12	5	4	3	+6	19
7	Greuther Furth	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Bielefeld	10	4	5	1	+10	17
9	Osnabruck	11	5	2	4	+6	17
10	Sandhausen	11	4	5	2	+2	17
11	Bochum	11	3	6	2	+2	15
12	Dresden	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Nurnberg	11	3	5	3	-5	14
14	Darmstadt	10	2	7	1	+1	13
15	Holstein Kiel	10	3	4	3	-1	13
16	Karlsruhe	10	3	3	4	-3	12
17	Hannover	11	1	7	3	-6	10
18	Wehen	11	2	3	6	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Holstein Kiel	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Hamburg	12	3	7	2	+5	16
4	Hannover	11	5	1	5	-1	16
5	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	-2	13
6	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	-5	13
7	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	+0	12
8	Wehen	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Nurnberg	11	3	3	5	-3	12
10	Regensburg	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Stuttgart	10	2	5	3	-4	11
12	Sandhausen	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Osnabruck	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Bochum	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Karlsruhe	11	1	5	5	-9	8
16	Erzgebirge Aue	11	1	3	7	-12	6
17	St Pauli	10	0	4	6	-9	4
18	Dresden	11	0	4	7	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.