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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
Bayern Munich
U U S S S
5–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,8
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,06 xG 0,79
59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. May -26 Bayern Munich – Stuttgart 3–0 19. Apr -26 Bayern Munich – Stuttgart 4–2 6. Dec -25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 28. Feb -25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 1–3 19. Oct -24 Bayern Munich – Stuttgart 4–0

Match report

Bayern Munich Stuttgart
1–0 D. Upamecano ⚽
J. Kimmich
21′
Half-time 1–1
52′
⚽ J. Vagnoman 1–1
2–1 M. Olise ⚽
J. Kimmich
55′
2–2 J. Vagnoman ⚽
own goal
57′
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ N. Brown
61′
62′
🟨 Jeff Chabot
62′
🔁 J. Leweling
↦ T. Tomas
63′
🔁 E. Demirovic
↦ D. Pejcinovic
Michael Olise ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
68′
🟨 Finn Jeltsch
J. Stanisic 🔁
↦ A. Davies
74′
74′
🔁 L. Stergiou
↦ D. Undav
74′
🔁 B. El Khannouss
↦ J. Chabot
Kim Min-jae 🟨
81′
3–2 A. Pavlovic ⚽
I. Saibari
82′
J. Tah 🔁
↦ Kim Min-Jae
84′
T. Bischof 🔁
↦ A. Pavlovic
84′
L. Karl 🔁
↦ H. Kane
84′
88′
🔁 C. Andres
↦ A. Stiller
4–2 L. Diaz ⚽
I. Saibari
90′
93′
🟨 Grischa Prömel
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
11 N. Brown M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
40 J. Urbig
4 J. Tah
21 H. Ito
44 J. Stanisic
34 I. Saibari
8 T. Bischof
42 L. Karl
39 B. Sapoko Ndiaye
22 A. Ibrahimovic

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Bredlow G
29 F. Jeltsch D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
4 J. Vagnoman M
21 G. Promel M
6 A. Stiller M
7 M. Mittelstadt M
17 D. Pejcinovic F
26 D. Undav F
8 T. Tomas F
Bench (9)
33 M. Funk
20 L. Stergiou
2 A. Al Dakhil
16 A. Karazor
30 C. Andres
11 B. El Khannouss
9 E. Demirovic
18 J. Leweling
27 B. Bouanani

Coach: Sebastian Hoeness

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
🔒
U
7,38
🔒
B
10,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,17
🔒
U2,5
4,78
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.