Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Stuttgart
FC Koln
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
The table before the match Stuttgart 18. · FC Koln 6. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +3.3 | 3 |
| 2 |
Freiburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 3 |
Augsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +1.6 | 3 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 6 |
FC Koln
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Elversberg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.6 | 3 |
| 8 |
Union Berlin
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 11 |
Paderborn
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 12 |
Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Leverkusen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.6 | 0 |
| 14 |
Hamburg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.6 | 0 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -1.8 | 0 |
| 16 |
Schalke 04
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -1.6 | 0 |
| 17 |
M'gladbach
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 18 |
Stuttgart
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | -3.3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Stuttgart
4-4-2
F. Bredlow
G
J. Vagnoman
D
Finn Jeltsch
D
J. Chabot
D
M. Mittelstädt
D
B. El Khannouss
M
G. Prömel
M
A. Stiller
M
C. Führich
M
D. Pejčinović
F
D. Undav
F
Bench (9)
Coach: S. Hoeneb
FC Koln
4-3-3
M. Schwäbe
G
A. Castro-Montes
D
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D
L. Lochoshvili
D
G. Mensah
D
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M
T. Krauß
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
M
J. Thielmann
F
R. Ache
F
L. Maina
F
Bench (9)
Coach: René Wagner
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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Referee
Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.