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DFB-Pokal
Referee: R Hartmann
Bielefeld
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -25 Bielefeld – Werder Bremen 2–1 10. Mar -21 Bielefeld – Werder Bremen 0–2 3. Oct -20 Werder Bremen – Bielefeld 1–0

Match report

Bielefeld Werder Bremen
9′
🟨 Senne Lynen
F. Hagmann 🔁
↦ T. Handwerker
21′
43′
🟨 Marco Friedl
Half-time 0–0
J. Kania 🔁
↦ N. Sarenren Bazee
46′
52′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
54′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
54′
🟥 Leonardo Bittencourt
60′
🔁 S. Mbangula
↦ J. Njinmah
72′
🔁 K. Topp
↦ P. Covic
B. Boakye 🔁
↦ J. Grodowski
79′
I. Young 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
79′
79′
🔁 O. Deman
↦ M. Wober
Benjamin Boakye 🟨
80′
1–0 I. Young ⚽
B. Boakye
90′
91′
🟨 Olivier Deman
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-4-2
1 J. Kersken G
24 C. Lannert D
23 L. Schneider D
19 M. Grosser D
29 T. Handwerker D
10 M. Mehlem M
21 S. Russo M
8 S. Schreck M
6 M. Corboz M
37 N. Sarenren Bazee F
11 J. Grodowski F
Bench (9)
18 L. Oppermann
2 F. Hagmann
3 J. Felix
7 J. Kania
13 L. Kunze
20 F. Micheler
27 B. Boakye
30 I. Young
43 D. Richter

Coach: Michel Kniat

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
1 M. Zetterer G
27 F. Agu D
4 N. Stark D
32 M. Friedl D
39 M. Wober D
10 L. Bittencourt M
14 S. Lynen M
11 J. Njinmah M
20 R. Schmid M
24 P. Covic M
17 M. Grull F
Bench (9)
30 M. Backhaus
2 O. Deman
9 K. Topp
7 S. Mbangula
21 I. Hansen-Aaroen
22 J. Malatini
31 K. Coulibaly
34 W. Adeh
35 L. Opitz

Coach: Daniel Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.