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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Mainz
U U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,44 xG 0,50
54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 20. Aug -23 Union Berlin – Mainz 4–1 4. Feb -23 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 14. Aug -22 Mainz – Union Berlin 0–0 26. Feb -22 Union Berlin – Mainz 3–1

Match report

Mainz Union Berlin
Dominik Kohr 🟨
7′
S. Bell 🔁
↦ M. Leitsch
31′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
52′
🟨 Danilho Doekhi
1–0 N. Amiri ⚽
53′
65′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ L. Tousart
72′
🔁 J. Haberer
↦ C. Trimmel
72′
🔁 T. Skarke
↦ B. Hollerbach
72′
🔁 L. Bénes
↦ A. Schäfer
74′
⚽ L. Bénes 1–1
T. Skarke
A. Sieb 🔁
↦ K. Onisiwo
76′
83′
🔁 L. Querfeld
↦ K. Vogt
P. Nebel 🔁
↦ A. Caci
85′
N. Weiper 🔁
↦ K. Sano
85′
98′
🟨 Robin Gosens
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mainz

3-4-2-1
27 R. Zentner G
31 D. Kohr D
5 M. Leitsch D
25 A. Hanche-Olsen D
19 A. Caci M
6 K. Sano M
18 N. Amiri M
2 P. Mwene M
9 K. Onisiwo F
7 Lee Jae-Sung F
29 J. Burkardt F
Bench (9)
16 S. Bell
11 A. Sieb
8 P. Nebel
44 N. Weiper
21 D. da Costa
22 N. Veratschnig
4 A. Barkok
10 M. Richter
1 L. Rieß

Coach: B. Henriksen

Union Berlin

3-4-2-1
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
2 K. Vogt D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
8 R. Khedira M
13 A. Schäfer M
6 R. Gosens M
29 L. Tousart F
16 B. Hollerbach F
17 J. Siebatcheu F
Bench (9)
7 Y. Vertessen
19 J. Haberer
21 T. Skarke
20 L. Bénes
14 L. Querfeld
3 P. Jaeckel
15 T. Rothe
36 A. Kemlein
37 A. Schwolow

Coach: B. Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
🔒
U ✓
3,30
🔒
B
4,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.