La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Vallecano
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celta
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +3.0 | 6 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -0.5 | 4 |
| 4 |
Osasuna
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +0.7 | 4 |
| 5 |
Vallecano
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.0 | 3 |
| 6 |
Valladolid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Ath Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.3 | 1 |
| 8 |
Las Palmas
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 9 |
Getafe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 10 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 11 |
Leganes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.8 | 1 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +0.6 | 1 |
| 15 |
Ath Bilbao
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.3 | 1 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.8 | 0 |
| 18 |
Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Espanol
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Valencia
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -2.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David Soria
G
Juan Iglesias
D
D. Dakonam
D
O. Alderete
D
Diego Rico
D
Luis Milla
M
Carles Pérez
M
Carles Aleñá
M
Álex Sola
M
Coach: José Bordalás
Dani Cárdenas
G
I. Balliu
D
F. Lejeune
D
A. Mumin
D
Óscar Valentín
M
P. Ciss
M
Jorge de Frutos
M
Adri Embarba
M
Randy Nteka
F
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Getafe
Getafe
Mallorca
Alaves
Getafe
Getafe
Ath Madrid
Cadiz
Getafe
Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.