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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Almere City

U T T T T

1–7

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

0,5

4,0

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

4,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,26 xG 3,39

26% Possession 74%

3 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almere City 16. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.2	6
2	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
3	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.1	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.5	4
6	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.2	4
7	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
8	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
11	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.3	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.5	2
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
9	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
10	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
12	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
18	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
8	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.