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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Nijmegen

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Zwolle

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,97 xG 0,54

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nijmegen 14. · Zwolle 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.2	6
2	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
3	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.1	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.5	4
6	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.2	4
7	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
8	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.3	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.5	2
12	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
14	Nijmegen	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
9	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
14	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
15	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
18	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
8	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.