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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: K Hagenes
Valerenga
S S S S S
4–2
Full-time
Lyn
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lyn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,2
4,8
Scored
3,7
3,0
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+3,2
+1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 54%
68%
39%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
63%
67%
Both score Ø 73%
68%
78%
Average goals
3,7
3,6
Scored
2,6
2,2
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 1. · Lyn 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 19 13 3 3 +29 42
2 Bryne 19 11 2 6 +10 35
3 Stabaek 19 9 5 5 +6 32
4 Moss 18 10 2 6 +5 32
5 Egersund 19 9 5 5 +4 32
6 Sogndal 19 8 6 5 +9 30
7 Lyn 18 7 7 4 +15 28
8 Kongsvinger 17 7 7 3 +0 28
9 Raufoss 19 6 5 8 -5 23
10 Levanger 19 4 9 6 +3 21
11 Ranheim 19 5 6 8 -3 21
12 Asane 19 5 5 9 -7 20
13 Mjondalen 19 4 6 9 -8 18
14 Aalesund 19 5 3 11 -13 18
15 Start 19 4 5 10 -15 17
16 Sandnes ULF 19 3 4 12 -30 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Lyn
3′
C. Borchgrevink 1–0
own goal
M. Riisnæs 🔁
↦ H. Bjørdal
12′
2–0 F. Ambina
22′
3–0 C. Lange
24′
28′
M. Johansen 3–1
Half-time 3–1
F. Ambina 🟨
60′
4–1 M. Brajanac
62′
63′
🔁 H. Kristiansen
↦ J. Skaug
68′
🔁 S. Laghzaoui
↦ A. Berntsen
68′
🔁 O. Breistøl
↦ J. Hanstad
75′
🔁 A. Hellum
↦ M. Johansen
75′
🔁 M. Ingebrigtsen
↦ E. Bydal
78′
🟨 J. Halvorsen
5–1 J. El Abdellaoui
81′
M. Rijks 🔁
↦ P. Strand
83′
E. Hagen 🔁
↦ M. Brajanac
83′
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
6 V. Hedenstad
2 C. Borchgrevink
4 A. Kiil Olsen
8 H. Bjørdal
24 P. Strand
55 S. Jarl
17 C. Lange
29 F. Ambina
80 M. Brajanac
25 J. El Abdellaoui
Bench (9)
7 M. Riisnæs
9 M. Rijks
15 E. Hagen
26 F. Thorvaldsen
1 J. Storevik
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 N. Idumba
14 O. Obasi
22 S. Sjøvold

Coach: G. Bakke

Lyn

1 A. Pedersen
4 W. Sell
18 H. Nilsen
3 J. Vedal Sjøl
6 D. Schneider
21 J. Skaug
16 A. Berntsen
5 E. Bydal
20 J. Hanstad
9 A. Olsen
10 M. Johansen
Bench (9)
7 H. Kristiansen
23 S. Laghzaoui
26 O. Breistøl
11 A. Hellum
25 M. Ingebrigtsen
13 M. Lunde
19 T. Myhre
22 H. Meinseth
27 I. Barnett

Coach: J. Halvorsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.