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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Midtjylland

S S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Sonderjyske

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,6

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,62 xG 0,96

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 7

4 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Sonderjyske 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	6	4	1	1	+12	+1.8	13
2	Silkeborg	5	4	0	1	+6	+2.1	12
3	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.6	11
4	FC Copenhagen	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.4	11
5	Brondby	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.6	10
6	Nordsjaelland	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.8	8
7	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
8	Aalborg	6	2	0	4	-11	-5.1	6
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-6	-5.5	4
10	Viborg	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.7	2
11	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.5	2
12	Vejle	5	0	0	5	-9	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.9	9
2	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+8	+1.6	7
3	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
4	Nordsjaelland	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.9	5
5	FC Copenhagen	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
6	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.6	3
7	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.2	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-7	-2.9	3
9	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.4	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.0	7
2	Aarhus	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.1	6
3	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
4	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
5	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
6	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
7	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.9	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.2	3
9	Sonderjyske	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
10	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
11	Viborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.