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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Osasuna
U U S U U
1–0
Full-time
Mallorca
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,54 xG 0,58
45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 12. · Mallorca 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
2 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.5 4
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.2 3
4 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
5 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
6 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
7 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
8 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
9 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
10 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
11 Real Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
12 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.8 1
13 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.8 1
14 Betis 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
15 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
16 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
17 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
18 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
19 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Mallorca
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Rubén García
55′
62′
🔁 Manu Morlanes
↦ Omar Mascarell
62′
🔁 C. Larin
↦ T. Asano
Moi Gómez 🔁
↦ Rubén García
71′
Jesús Areso 🟨
75′
Sergio Herrera 🟨
77′
Iker Muñoz 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
79′
Raúl García 🔁
↦ A. Budimir
79′
79′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ Dani Rodríguez
Nacho Vidal 🔁
↦ Jesús Areso
80′
Pablo Ibáñez 🔁
↦ Iker Muñoz
83′
85′
🔁 Abdón Prats
↦ Darder
88′
🟨 Cyle Larin
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-1-4-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
24 Catena D
5 Jorge Herrando D
23 Abel Bretones D
6 Lucas Torró M
14 Rubén García M
7 Moncayola M
10 Aimar Oroz M
19 Bryan Zaragoza M
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (11)
16 Moi Gómez
18 Iker Muñoz
9 Raúl García
2 Nacho Vidal
8 Pablo Ibáñez
4 Unai García
27 Iker Benito
32 D. Stamatakis
3 Juan Cruz
13 Aitor Fernández
21 Javi Martínez

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Mallorca

4-3-3
1 D. Greif G
23 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
22 J. Mojica D
12 Samú Costa M
5 Omar Mascarell M
10 Darder M
11 T. Asano F
7 V. Muriqi F
14 Dani Rodríguez F
Bench (12)
8 Manu Morlanes
17 C. Larin
18 Antonio Sánchez
9 Abdón Prats
33 D. Luna
13 Leo Román
4 S. Van der Heyden
25 Iván Cuéllar
3 Toni Lato
30 Marc Domenech
28 Miquel Salas
6 Copete

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,01
B
3,22
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,68
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.