La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osasuna
Mallorca
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celta
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -0.5 | 4 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +2.2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Vallecano
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.0 | 3 |
| 5 |
Valladolid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.3 | 1 |
| 7 |
Las Palmas
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 9 |
Getafe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 11 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.8 | 1 |
| 13 |
Leganes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.8 | 1 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 15 |
Girona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +0.6 | 1 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.8 | 0 |
| 18 |
Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Espanol
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Valencia
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -2.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Sergio Herrera
G
Jesús Areso
D
Catena
D
Jorge Herrando
D
Abel Bretones
D
Lucas Torró
M
Rubén García
M
Moncayola
M
Aimar Oroz
M
Bryan Zaragoza
M
A. Budimir
F
Coach: Vicente Moreno
D. Greif
G
Pablo Maffeo
D
M. Valjent
D
Raíllo
D
J. Mojica
D
Darder
M
V. Muriqi
F
Dani Rodríguez
F
Coach: Arrasate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Osasuna
Leganes
Osasuna
Villarreal
Ath Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna
Mallorca
Ath Bilbao
Osasuna
Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.