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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Sudtirol
S U T U S
3–2
Full-time
Salernitana
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 3. · Salernitana 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juve Stabia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Salernitana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cesena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Cosenza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Modena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Frosinone 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Mantova 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Cittadella 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Bari 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Salernitana
Daniele Casiraghi 🟨
7′
1–0 D. Casiraghi
28′
30′
🟨 Tijs Velthuis
36′
F. Tongya 1–1
2–1 S. Molina
42′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Braaf
↦ D. Valencia
46′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ Y. Kallon
56′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ A. Tello
61′
J. Braaf 2–2
S. Nwankwo
J. Kurtić 🔁
↦ M. Praszelik
62′
F. Tait 🔁
↦ A. Mallamo
63′
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ R. Odogwu
63′
M. Rover 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
76′
F. Davi 🔁
↦ S. Molina
86′
86′
🔁 D. Gentile
↦ F. Daniliuc
93′
🔁 R. Di Vico
↦ F. Tongya
3–2 M. Rover
F. Tait
96′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sudtirol

5-4-1
1 G. Poluzzi G
79 S. Molina D
30 A. Giorgini D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
5 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
8 A. Mallamo M
4 T. Arrigoni M
99 M. Praszelik M
17 D. Casiraghi M
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
27 J. Kurtić
21 F. Tait
33 S. Merkaj
7 M. Rover
14 F. Davi
9 V. Crespi
3 A. Cagnano
6 J. Martini
26 A. Cisco
19 N. Pietrangeli
12 G. Drago
28 R. Kofler

Coach: F. Valente

Salernitana

4-5-1
55 L. Sepe G
5 F. Daniliuc D
15 D. Bronn D
4 T. Velthuis D
17 L. Njoh D
11 Y. Kallon M
70 A. Tello M
73 L. Amatucci M
14 D. Valencia M
7 F. Tongya M
9 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (10)
24 J. Braaf
31 D. Verde
21 R. Soriano
2 D. Gentile
45 R. Di Vico
3 D. Bradarić
1 V. Fiorillo
39 A. Iervolino
12 F. Corriere
13 F. Ruggeri

Coach: G. Martusciello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,60
U
3,03
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.