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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Cremonese

S U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Carrarese

S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cremonese 19. · Carrarese 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Mantova	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Bari	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Mantova	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.