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DFB-Pokal
Referee: R Hempel
Wehen
T T T U T
1–3
Full-time
Mainz
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wehen Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 10
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Wehen Mainz
-5′
🟨 Anthony Caci
1–0 T. Gözüsirin ⚽
14′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Dominik Kohr
Florian-Horst Carstens 🟨
56′
59′
⚽ D. Kohr 1–1
Lee Jae-Sung
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ T. Gözüsirin
68′
68′
🔁 P. Nebel
↦ A. Sieb
68′
🔁 K. Onisiwo
↦ P. Mwene
A. Jonjić 🔁
↦ M. Flotho
78′
81′
🔁 N. Veratschnig
↦ A. Caci
B. Nink 🔁
↦ I. Franjić
86′
86′
🔁 S. Bell
↦ M. Leitsch
O. Wohlers 🔁
↦ T. Goppel
90′
E. Taffertshofer 🔁
↦ G. Fechner
90′
111′
🔁 N. Weiper
↦ Lee Jae-Sung
113′
⚽ J. Burkardt 1–2
120′
🟨 Nikolas Veratschnig
121′
⚽ N. Amiri 1–3
P. Nebel
122′
🟨 Nadiem Amiri
Antonio Jonjić 🟨
123′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Wehen

3-4-3
16 F. Stritzel G
4 S. Mockenhaupt D
17 F. Carstens D
33 F. Luckeneder D
9 T. Goppel M
11 T. Gözüsirin M
6 G. Fechner M
18 F. Greilinger M
8 N. Bätzner F
28 M. Flotho F
7 I. Franjić F
Bench (9)
14 O. Kiomourtzoglou
10 A. Jonjić
37 B. Nink
21 O. Wohlers
5 E. Taffertshofer
15 J. Janitzek
3 M. Wegmann
1 A. Lyska
22 A. Farouk

Coach: N. Döring

Mainz

3-4-2-1
27 R. Zentner G
31 D. Kohr D
5 M. Leitsch D
25 A. Hanche-Olsen D
19 A. Caci M
6 K. Sano M
18 N. Amiri M
2 P. Mwene M
11 A. Sieb F
7 Lee Jae-Sung F
29 J. Burkardt F
Bench (9)
8 P. Nebel
9 K. Onisiwo
22 N. Veratschnig
16 S. Bell
44 N. Weiper
10 M. Richter
1 L. Rieß
20 E. Fernandes
4 A. Barkok

Coach: B. Henriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.