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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Brescia
S T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Cittadella
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brescia 4. · Cittadella 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sudtirol 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Juve Stabia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Cesena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Cosenza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Salernitana 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Modena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Frosinone 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Mantova 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Cittadella 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Bari 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cittadella
27′
🟨 Matteo Angeli
34′
🟨 Nicola Pavan
Davide Adorni 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
M. Besaggio 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
46′
Dimitri Bisoli 🟨
48′
58′
🟨 Nicola Pavan
58′
🟥 Nicola Pavan
62′
🔁 A. Salvi
↦ J. Desogus
62′
🔁 E. Sottini
↦ E. Masciangelo
63′
L. Carissoni 0–1
A. Jurič 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
65′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ G. Olzer
71′
N. Corrado 🔁
↦ D. Adorni
71′
75′
🔁 M. Ravasio
↦ S. Rabbi
80′
🟨 Elhan Kastrati
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ L. Dickmann
84′
88′
🔁 F. D'Alessio
↦ S. Branca
Flavio Bianchi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brescia

4-4-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
23 N. Galazzi M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
29 G. Borrelli F
27 G. Olzer F
Bench (12)
39 M. Besaggio
7 A. Jurič
8 B. Bjarnason
19 N. Corrado
9 F. Bianchi
20 P. Nuamah
33 Z. Muça
4 F. Paghera
21 R. Fogliata
16 T. Buhagiar
32 A. Papetti
22 L. Andrenacci

Coach: R. Maran

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
24 L. Carissoni D
26 N. Pavan D
4 M. Angeli D
32 E. Masciangelo D
8 F. Amatucci M
5 F. Casolari M
23 S. Branca M
16 A. Vita M
21 S. Rabbi F
11 J. Desogus F
Bench (11)
2 A. Salvi
6 E. Sottini
91 M. Ravasio
19 F. D'Alessio
18 A. Tessiore
10 C. Cassano
29 A. Djibril
7 L. Pandolfi
28 A. Rizza
9 A. Magrassi
78 L. Maniero

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
U
3,05
B ✓
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.