Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lyon
Monaco
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | +5.8 | 6 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.0 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +2.0 | 3 |
| 5 |
Auxerre
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.5 | 3 |
| 7 |
Lens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +1.2 | 1 |
| 10 |
Nantes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -1.2 | 1 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | -2.7 | 1 |
| 12 |
Nice
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.2 | 0 |
| 13 |
St Etienne
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.5 | 0 |
| 14 |
Angers
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.8 | 0 |
| 15 |
Reims
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Le Havre
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -2.7 | 0 |
| 17 |
Lyon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | +0.0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Brest
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | -1.1 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Lucas Perri
G
Clinton Mata
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
M. Niakhaté
D
Abner
D
A. Maitland-Niles
M
M. Caqueret
M
E. Nuamah
M
M. Fofana
M
Coach: P. Sage
P. Köhn
G
Vanderson
D
T. Kehrer
D
M. Salisu
D
I. Jakobs
D
L. Camara
M
D. Zakaria
M
M. Akliouche
M
T. Minamino
M
E. Ben Seghir
M
Coach: A. Hütter
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rennes
Lyon
Lyon
Paris SG
Lyon
Strasbourg
Clermont
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.