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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Lyon
S S S T T
0–2
Full-time
Monaco
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,03 xG 2,26
39% Possession 61%
2 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lyon 17. · Monaco 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +9 +5.8 6
2 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.1 3
3 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +3 -0.0 3
4 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 +2.0 3
5 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
6 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.5 3
7 Lens 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
8 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
9 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
10 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
11 Montpellier 2 0 1 1 -6 -2.7 1
12 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
13 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.5 0
14 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
15 Reims 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.0 0
16 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.7 0
17 Lyon 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.0 0
18 Brest 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Monaco
G. Mikautadze 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
17′
44′
🟨 Mohammed Salisu
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ B. Embolo
64′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ Vanderson
65′
E. Ben Seghir 0–1
M. Akliouche
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
73′
N. Matić 🔁
↦ Abner
73′
77′
🔁 K. Ouattara
↦ E. Ben Seghir
C. Tolisso 🔁
↦ M. Caqueret
80′
M. Diawara 🔁
↦ S. Benrahma
80′
80′
L. Camara 0–2
K. Ouattara
86′
🔁 S. Magassa
↦ D. Zakaria
86′
🔁 W. Singo
↦ T. Minamino
Corentin Tolisso 🟨
90′
94′
🟨 Lamine Camara
Clinton Mata 🟨
96′
97′
🟨 Lamine Camara
97′
🟥 Lamine Camara
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
23 Lucas Perri G
22 Clinton Mata D
55 D. Ćaleta-Car D
19 M. Niakhaté D
16 Abner D
98 A. Maitland-Niles M
6 M. Caqueret M
37 E. Nuamah M
17 S. Benrahma M
11 M. Fofana M
10 A. Lacazette F
Bench (9)
69 G. Mikautadze
7 Mama Baldé
31 N. Matić
8 C. Tolisso
34 M. Diawara
1 Anthony Lopes
20 S. Kumbedi
25 O. Mangala
14 Adryelson

Coach: P. Sage

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 P. Köhn G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
14 I. Jakobs D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
21 G. Ilenikhena
4 J. Teze
20 K. Ouattara
88 S. Magassa
17 W. Singo
9 F. Balogun
50 Y. Lienard
12 Caio Henrique
13 C. Mawissa

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U
3,75
B ✓
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.