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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Espanol
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,30 xG 0,63
34% Possession 66%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 19. · Sociedad 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.0 6
3 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.5 4
4 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
5 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
6 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
7 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
8 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
9 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
10 Real Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
11 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.8 1
12 Betis 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
13 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
14 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
15 Ath Bilbao 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.3 1
16 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.5 1
17 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
18 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
19 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sociedad
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Beñat Turrientes
Alejo Véliz 🟨
52′
57′
🟨 Mikel Oyarzabal
66′
🔁 T. Kubo
↦ Beñat Turrientes
66′
🔁 Jon Olasagasti
↦ Brais Méndez
67′
🔁 U. Sadiq
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Brian Oliván 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
68′
80′
T. Kubo 0–1
H. Traoré
Antoniu Roca 🔁
↦ José Gragera
83′
Álvaro Aguado 🔁
↦ Jofre Carreras
83′
83′
🔁 J. Aramburu
↦ H. Traoré
86′
🔁 Pablo Marín
↦ S. Becker
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ O. El Hilali
87′
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ Carlos Romero
87′
Marash Kumbulla 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Joan García G
23 O. El Hilali D
4 M. Kumbulla D
6 L. Cabrera D
22 Carlos Romero D
17 Jofre Carreras M
20 A. Král M
15 José Gragera M
24 I. Cardona M
9 A. Véliz F
7 Javi Puado F
Bench (12)
14 Brian Oliván
31 Antoniu Roca
18 Álvaro Aguado
12 Álvaro Tejero
11 Pere Milla
35 Rafel Bauzà
33 Ángel Fortuño
5 Fernando Calero
19 Salvi Sánchez
3 Sergi Gómez
10 Pol Lozano
13 Fernando Pacheco

Coach: Manolo González

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
18 H. Traoré D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
20 Jon Pacheco D
12 Javi López D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
17 Sergio Gómez M
23 Brais Méndez M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
11 S. Becker M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
14 T. Kubo
16 Jon Olasagasti
19 U. Sadiq
27 J. Aramburu
28 Pablo Marín
15 Urko González
35 Egoitz Arana
24 L. Sučić
3 Aihen Muñoz
31 Jon Martín
25 Jon Magunazelaia
13 Unai Marrero

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,00
U
3,13
B ✓
2,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,64
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.