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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Mainz

S S U S S

0–0

Full-time

Union Berlin

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 7. · Union Berlin 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Stuttgart	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	RB Leipzig	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.