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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Hertha
T T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 14. · Hoffenheim 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 8 5 2 1 +9 17
2 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +17 15
4 Dortmund 8 5 0 3 +1 15
5 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Hoffenheim 7 4 1 2 +5 13
7 FC Koln 8 3 4 1 +4 13
8 Werder Bremen 8 3 3 2 +5 12
9 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Mainz 8 3 2 3 -4 11
12 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 -5 9
13 Wolfsburg 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Hertha 7 1 3 3 -2 6
15 Schalke 04 7 1 3 3 -6 6
16 Stuttgart 8 0 5 3 -4 5
17 Leverkusen 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Bochum 8 0 1 7 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Hoffenheim
Suat Serdar 🟨
21′
25′
A. Kramarić 0–1
O. Kabak
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
29′
29′
🟨 Dennis Geiger
1–1 D. Lukébakio
C. Ejuke
37′
Half-time 1–1
A. Rogel 🔁
↦ F. Uremović
46′
61′
🔁 G. Rutter
↦ M. Dabbur
63′
🔁 A. Stiller
↦ D. Geiger
M. Richter 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
72′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
72′
81′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ C. Baumgartner
81′
🔁 R. Skov
↦ Angeliño
81′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ S. Nsoki
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
83′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-3-3
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
5 F. Uremović D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
29 L. Tousart M
34 I. Šunjić M
8 S. Serdar M
14 D. Lukébakio F
18 W. Kanga F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (9)
3 A. Rogel
23 M. Richter
7 D. Selke
27 K. Boateng
17 M. Mittelstädt
19 S. Jovetić
6 V. Darida
31 M. Dárdai
12 T. Ernst

Coach: S. Schwarz

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
22 K. Vogt D
34 S. Nsoki D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
6 G. Prömel M
8 D. Geiger M
27 A. Kramarić M
11 Angeliño M
14 C. Baumgartner F
10 M. Dabbur F
Bench (9)
33 G. Rutter
13 A. Stiller
7 J. Bruun Larsen
29 R. Skov
25 K. Akpoguma
37 L. Philipp
16 S. Rudy
44 F. Asllani
35 M. Damar

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U ✓
3,73
B
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.