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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Hertha
T U T T S
2–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
20%
80%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 14. · Leverkusen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 5 4 0 1 +5 12
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 +14 11
4 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 +8 11
5 Mainz 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 FC Koln 5 2 3 0 +4 9
7 Hoffenheim 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Werder Bremen 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 +0 8
11 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 -6 6
12 RB Leipzig 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Stuttgart 5 0 4 1 -1 4
14 Hertha 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Leverkusen 5 1 0 4 -3 3
16 Schalke 04 5 0 3 2 -7 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Leverkusen
41′
🔁 C. Aránguiz
↦ E. Palacios
Suat Serdar 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
48′
49′
K. Demirbay 0–1
52′
🟨 Charles Aránguiz
1–1 S. Serdar
C. Ejuke
55′
66′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ A. Hložek
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
67′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
67′
2–1 M. Richter
74′
76′
🔁 R. Andrich
↦ K. Demirbay
76′
🔁 S. Azmoun
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
76′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ J. Frimpong
79′
P. Schick 2–2
R. Andrich
D. Selke 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
81′
M. Dárdai 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
81′
Davie Selke 🟨
86′
V. Darida 🔁
↦ L. Tousart
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-3-3
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
5 F. Uremović D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
29 L. Tousart M
34 I. Šunjić M
8 S. Serdar M
14 D. Lukébakio F
18 W. Kanga F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (9)
10 J. Boëtius
23 M. Richter
7 D. Selke
31 M. Dárdai
6 V. Darida
11 M. Maolida
27 K. Boateng
12 T. Ernst
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: S. Schwarz

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
30 J. Frimpong D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
25 E. Palacios M
10 K. Demirbay M
19 M. Diaby M
23 A. Hložek M
17 C. Hudson-Odoi M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
20 C. Aránguiz
11 N. Amiri
8 R. Andrich
9 S. Azmoun
6 O. Kossounou
5 M. Bakker
29 Z. Sertdemir
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
36 N. Lomb

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,64
U ✓
4,00
B
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.