Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union Berlin
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 3 |
Freiburg
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Bayern Munich
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 12 |
| 5 |
Hoffenheim
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 |
M'gladbach
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |
Mainz
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 |
FC Koln
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |
RB Leipzig
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |
Schalke 04
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Leverkusen
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 |
Wolfsburg
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
O. Baumann
G
O. Kabak
D
K. Akpoguma
D
G. Prömel
M
D. Geiger
M
Angeliño
M
G. Rutter
F
A. Kramarić
F
Coach: A. Breitenreiter
M. Flekken
G
K. Sildillia
D
M. Ginter
D
P. Lienhart
D
C. Günter
D
M. Eggestein
M
R. Dōan
M
D. Kyereh
M
V. Grifo
M
M. Gregoritsch
F
Coach: C. Streich
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Dortmund
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
Augsburg
Leverkusen
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
Bochum
D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.