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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Hoffenheim
S S S T S
0–0
Full-time
Freiburg
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 5. · Freiburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 7 5 2 0 +11 17
2 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +2 15
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Bayern Munich 7 3 3 1 +13 12
5 Hoffenheim 6 4 0 2 +5 12
6 M'gladbach 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Mainz 7 3 2 2 -3 11
9 FC Koln 7 2 4 1 +3 10
10 Werder Bremen 7 2 3 2 +1 9
11 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 -5 9
12 RB Leipzig 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Hertha 7 1 3 3 -2 6
14 Schalke 04 7 1 3 3 -6 6
15 Leverkusen 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 Stuttgart 7 0 5 2 -3 5
17 Wolfsburg 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Bochum 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Freiburg
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Christian Günter
M. Damar 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
64′
M. Dabbur 🔁
↦ C. Baumgartner
64′
78′
🔁 Jeong Woo-Yeong
↦ D. Kyereh
78′
🔁 N. Weißhaupt
↦ V. Grifo
78′
🔁 K. Schade
↦ R. Dōan
Munas Dabbur 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Matthias Ginter
S. Rudy 🔁
↦ A. Kramarić
81′
85′
🔁 N. Petersen
↦ M. Gregoritsch
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
22 K. Vogt D
25 K. Akpoguma D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
6 G. Prömel M
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner M
11 Angeliño M
33 G. Rutter F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (9)
35 M. Damar
10 M. Dabbur
16 S. Rudy
26 Eduardo Quaresma
34 S. Nsoki
44 F. Asllani
13 A. Stiller
7 J. Bruun Larsen
37 L. Philipp

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
26 M. Flekken G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Günter D
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
42 R. Dōan M
11 D. Kyereh M
32 V. Grifo M
38 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
33 N. Weißhaupt
20 K. Schade
18 N. Petersen
1 B. Uphoff
14 Y. Keitel
31 K. Schlotterbeck
17 L. Kübler
5 M. Gulde

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U ✓
3,75
B
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.