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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
M'gladbach
U U U T S
3–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
36%
71%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
57%
86%
Both score Ø 83%
79%
86%
Average goals
3,4
4,6
Scored
1,8
3,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 10 3 1 +23 33
2 RB Leipzig 14 9 4 1 +16 31
3 Leverkusen 14 8 4 2 +15 28
4 Dortmund 14 8 1 5 +10 25
5 Union Berlin 14 6 6 2 +11 24
6 Wolfsburg 14 6 6 2 +5 24
7 M'gladbach 14 5 6 3 +3 21
8 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 8 2 +0 20
9 Freiburg 14 5 5 4 -1 20
10 Augsburg 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Stuttgart 14 4 6 4 +5 18
12 Hertha 14 4 4 6 -1 16
13 Hoffenheim 14 4 3 7 -4 15
14 Werder Bremen 14 3 5 6 -7 14
15 FC Koln 14 2 5 7 -9 11
16 Bielefeld 14 3 1 10 -15 10
17 Mainz 14 1 3 10 -17 6
18 Schalke 04 14 0 4 10 -31 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Bayern Munich
19′
ℹ️ Alphonso Davies
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
26′
L. Goretzka 0–2
L. Sané
1–2 J. Hofmann
L. Stindl
35′
Jonas Hofmann ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
2–2 J. Hofmann
L. Stindl
45′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 F. Neuhaus
J. Hofmann
49′
Matthias Ginter 🟨
62′
63′
🟨 Niklas Süle
68′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ Douglas Costa
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ D. Zakaria
74′
H. Wolf 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
82′
T. Jantschke 🔁
↦ R. Bensebaini
89′
O. Wendt 🔁
↦ J. Hofmann
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-4-2
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
13 L. Stindl F
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann M
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
7 P. Herrmann
11 H. Wolf
24 T. Jantschke
17 O. Wendt
3 M. Lang
22 L. Bénes
21 T. Sippel
15 L. Beyer
16 I. Traoré

Coach: M. Rose

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
5 B. Pavard D
19 A. Davies D
11 Douglas Costa M
18 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
10 L. Sané M
Bench (9)
29 K. Coman
20 B. Sarr
24 C. Tolisso
35 A. Nübel
13 E. Choupo-Moting
21 L. Hernández
42 J. Musiala
17 J. Boateng
22 Marc Roca

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,93
U
4,76
B
1,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.