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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Bayern Munich
S S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 47%
75%
19%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
81%
47%
Both score Ø 65%
66%
63%
Average goals
3,9
2,9
Scored
2,9
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

75% Possession 25%
25 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Stuttgart 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 24 3 5 +60 75
2 Dortmund 33 21 3 9 +32 66
3 Leverkusen 33 18 7 8 +32 61
4 Freiburg 33 15 10 8 +13 55
5 RB Leipzig 32 16 6 10 +31 54
6 Union Berlin 33 15 9 9 +5 54
7 FC Koln 33 14 10 9 +4 52
8 Hoffenheim 33 13 7 13 +2 46
9 Mainz 33 13 6 14 +5 45
10 M'gladbach 33 11 9 13 -11 42
11 Bochum 33 12 6 15 -13 42
12 Ein Frankfurt 33 10 11 12 -4 41
13 Wolfsburg 33 12 5 16 -11 41
14 Augsburg 32 9 8 15 -14 35
15 Hertha 33 9 6 18 -33 33
16 Stuttgart 32 6 11 15 -19 29
17 Bielefeld 33 5 12 16 -26 27
18 Greuther Furth 33 3 9 21 -53 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Stuttgart
Tanguy Nianzou 🟨
6′
8′
Tiago Tomás 0–1
Omar Marmoush
1–1 S. Gnabry
R. Lewandowski
35′
39′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
2–1 T. Müller
D. Upamecano
44′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 O. Mangala
↦ Omar Marmoush
50′
🟨 Chris Führich
52′
S. Kalajdzic 2–2
B. Sosa
N. Süle 🔁
↦ T. Nianzou
63′
63′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ C. Führich
Marc Roca 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
72′
C. Tolisso 🔁
↦ B. Pavard
72′
74′
🟨 Tanguy Coulibaly
75′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ Tiago Tomás
79′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ S. Kalajdzic
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ T. Müller
85′
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
86′
Alphonso Davies 🟨
91′
Kingsley Coman 🟥
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
5 B. Pavard D
2 D. Upamecano D
19 A. Davies D
23 T. Nianzou D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 S. Gnabry M
6 J. Kimmich M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
11 K. Coman M
Bench (9)
4 N. Süle
22 Marc Roca
24 C. Tolisso
13 E. Choupo-Moting
18 M. Sabitzer
44 J. Stanišić
26 S. Ulreich
21 L. Hernández
3 O. Richards

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Müller G
16 A. Karazor M
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
22 C. Führich M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
17 Omar Marmoush F
18 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
23 O. Mangala
7 T. Coulibaly
20 P. Förster
11 E. Thommy
43 L. Bazzoli
34 Ö. Beyaz
8 E. Millot
33 F. Bredlow
50 A. Tibidi

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,25
U ✓
6,82
B
10,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.