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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Wolfsburg
S T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 55%
36%
73%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
48%
82%
Both score Ø 53%
39%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,9
Scored
1,2
2,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 12
2 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 13. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 4 5 +60 76
2 Dortmund 33 21 3 9 +32 66
3 Leverkusen 33 18 7 8 +32 61
4 RB Leipzig 33 17 6 10 +35 57
5 Freiburg 33 15 10 8 +13 55
6 Union Berlin 33 15 9 9 +5 54
7 FC Koln 33 14 10 9 +4 52
8 Hoffenheim 33 13 7 13 +2 46
9 Mainz 33 13 6 14 +5 45
10 M'gladbach 33 11 9 13 -11 42
11 Bochum 33 12 6 15 -13 42
12 Ein Frankfurt 33 10 11 12 -4 41
13 Wolfsburg 33 12 5 16 -11 41
14 Augsburg 33 9 8 16 -18 35
15 Hertha 33 9 6 18 -33 33
16 Stuttgart 33 6 12 15 -19 30
17 Bielefeld 33 5 12 16 -26 27
18 Greuther Furth 33 3 9 21 -53 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
17′
J. Stanišić 0–1
J. Kimmich
25′
ℹ️ Jamal Musiala
VAR: Goal cancelled
40′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
T. Müller
Lukas Nmecha 🟨
42′
1–2 J. Wind
M. Kruse
45′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 M. Kruse
M. van de Ven
58′
60′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ T. Müller
67′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ S. Gnabry
J. Roussillon 🔁
↦ M. van de Ven
72′
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ Y. Gerhardt
72′
77′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
81′
🔁 O. Richards
↦ A. Davies
81′
🔁 G. Vidović
↦ J. Kimmich
81′
🔁 C. Früchtl
↦ M. Neuer
B. Białek 🔁
↦ L. Nmecha
83′
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
83′
88′
🟨 Omar Richards
S. Bornauw 🔁
↦ J. Brooks
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-4-2
1 K. Casteels G
25 J. Brooks D
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
9 M. Kruse F
10 L. Nmecha F
23 J. Wind M
Bench (9)
15 J. Roussillon
8 A. Vranckx
21 B. Białek
17 M. Philipp
3 S. Bornauw
11 R. Steffen
19 K. Mbabu
12 P. Pervan
28 D. Lukébakio

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Bayern Munich

3-2-4-1
1 M. Neuer G
21 L. Hernández D
2 D. Upamecano D
19 A. Davies F
44 J. Stanišić D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 S. Gnabry F
6 J. Kimmich M
42 J. Musiala M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (8)
13 E. Choupo-Moting
10 L. Sané
3 O. Richards
38 G. Vidović
36 C. Früchtl
5 B. Pavard
40 M. Tillman
23 T. Nianzou

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,97
U ✓
5,11
B
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,22
U2,5
4,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.