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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Bayern Munich
S T U U S
2–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
4,0
Scored
6,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%
24 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 6. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 FC Koln 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 M'gladbach 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Union Berlin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 -3 3
10 Werder Bremen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Stuttgart 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 RB Leipzig 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -5 1
17 Bochum 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Leverkusen 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Wolfsburg
Sven Ulreich 🟨
-5′
Lucas Hernández 🟨
15′
Sadio Mané ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
21′
1–0 J. Musiala
33′
2–0 T. Müller
J. Kimmich
43′
Half-time 2–0
L. Sané 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
46′
46′
🔁 M. Kruse
↦ P. Wimmer
52′
🟨 Mattias Svanberg
61′
🔁 F. Nmecha
↦ M. Svanberg
68′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ Omar Marmoush
M. Tel 🔁
↦ S. Mané
80′
R. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
83′
83′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ M. Arnold
83′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ L. Nmecha
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
5 B. Pavard D
2 D. Upamecano D
21 L. Hernández D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
18 M. Sabitzer M
25 T. Müller M
7 S. Gnabry M
42 J. Musiala M
17 S. Mané F
Bench (9)
10 L. Sané
39 M. Tel
38 R. Gravenberch
23 T. Nianzou
4 M. de Ligt
44 J. Stanišić
26 S. Ulreich
20 B. Sarr
40 N. Mazraoui

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Wolfsburg

4-5-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
39 P. Wimmer M
27 M. Arnold M
29 J. Guilavogui M
32 M. Svanberg M
33 Omar Marmoush M
10 L. Nmecha F
Bench (9)
9 M. Kruse
22 F. Nmecha
7 L. Waldschmidt
8 A. Vranckx
14 J. Brekalo
6 Paulo Otávio
16 J. Kamiński
12 P. Pervan
17 M. Philipp

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
9,11
B
16,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,22
U2,5 ✓
4,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.