Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bayern Munich
M'gladbach
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 4–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | +46 | 71 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | +29 | 64 |
| 3 |
Wolfsburg
|
32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | +25 | 60 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | +25 | 58 |
| 5 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | +15 | 56 |
| 6 |
Leverkusen
|
32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | +16 | 51 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +13 | 46 |
| 8 |
Union Berlin
|
32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 9 |
Stuttgart
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 |
Freiburg
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 41 |
| 11 |
Hoffenheim
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -16 | 35 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Bielefeld
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 30 |
| 17 |
FC Koln
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -24 | 29 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
31 | 2 | 7 | 22 | -60 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Neuer
G
L. Hernández
D
B. Pavard
D
A. Davies
D
J. Kimmich
M
J. Musiala
M
Coach: H. Flick
Y. Sommer
G
S. Lainer
D
M. Ginter
D
N. Elvedi
D
R. Bensebaini
D
J. Hofmann
M
F. Neuhaus
M
D. Zakaria
M
M. Thuram
F
Coach: M. Rose
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Leverkusen
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.