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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Bayern Munich
S U S S T
6–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 55%
71%
39%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
77%
68%
Both score Ø 73%
74%
71%
Average goals
4,1
3,4
Scored
2,8
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · M'gladbach 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 22 5 4 +46 71
2 RB Leipzig 32 19 7 6 +29 64
3 Wolfsburg 32 17 9 6 +25 60
4 Dortmund 32 18 4 10 +25 58
5 Ein Frankfurt 31 15 11 5 +15 56
6 Leverkusen 32 14 9 9 +16 51
7 M'gladbach 31 12 10 9 +13 46
8 Union Berlin 32 11 13 8 +6 46
9 Stuttgart 32 11 9 12 +2 42
10 Freiburg 31 11 8 12 -1 41
11 Hoffenheim 32 10 9 13 -3 39
12 Mainz 31 9 8 14 -16 35
13 Augsburg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
14 Werder Bremen 32 7 10 15 -17 31
15 Hertha 30 7 9 14 -11 30
16 Bielefeld 31 8 6 17 -28 30
17 FC Koln 31 7 8 16 -24 29
18 Schalke 04 31 2 7 22 -60 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich M'gladbach
1–0 R. Lewandowski
D. Alaba
2′
2–0 T. Müller
J. Musiala
23′
3–0 R. Lewandowski
34′
4–0 K. Coman
R. Lewandowski
44′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 A. Plea
↦ M. Thuram
46′
🔁 H. Wolf
↦ V. Lazaro
L. Sané 🔁
↦ K. Coman
60′
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ D. Alaba
60′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
60′
Leon Goretzka ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
65′
🟨 Florian Neuhaus
5–0 R. Lewandowski
66′
T. Nianzou 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
69′
69′
🔁 L. Stindl
↦ J. Hofmann
69′
🔁 O. Wendt
↦ R. Bensebaini
Javi Martínez 🔁
↦ J. Boateng
71′
Tanguy Nianzou 🟥
75′
84′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ B. Embolo
6–0 L. Sané
S. Gnabry
85′
90′
🟨 Hannes Wolf
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba M
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
42 J. Musiala M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (9)
10 L. Sané
18 L. Goretzka
7 S. Gnabry
23 T. Nianzou
8 Javi Martínez
20 B. Sarr
22 Marc Roca
4 N. Süle
35 A. Nübel

Coach: H. Flick

M'gladbach

4-4-2
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
23 J. Hofmann M
19 V. Lazaro M
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria M
36 B. Embolo F
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
14 A. Plea
11 H. Wolf
13 L. Stindl
17 O. Wendt
7 P. Herrmann
21 T. Sippel
24 T. Jantschke
6 C. Kramer
15 L. Beyer

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
5,48
B
7,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.