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Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Union Berlin
U S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Augsburg
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Union Berlin Augsburg
Christopher Trimmel 🟨
9′
S. Griesbeck 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
25′
40′
R. Vargas 0–1
R. Framberger
Half-time 0–1
Sebastian Griesbeck 🟨
62′
C. Teuchert 🔁
↦ G. Prömel
71′
M. Kruse 🔁
↦ S. Becker
71′
1–1 M. Bülter
C. Lenz
75′
76′
🔁 A. Hahn
↦ R. Vargas
76′
🔁 A. Finnbogason
↦ F. Niederlechner
82′
M. Gregoritsch 1–2
Iago
N. Gießelmann 🔁
↦ C. Lenz
86′
J. Mees 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
86′
86′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ C. Gruezo
86′
🔁 R. Oxford
↦ D. Caligiuri
89′
🔁 T. Strobl
↦ M. Gregoritsch
89′
A. Hahn 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Union Berlin

4-3-3
1 A. Luthe G
28 C. Trimmel D
31 R. Knoche D
25 C. Lenz D
5 M. Friedrich D
34 C. Gentner M
30 R. Andrich M
21 G. Prömel M
27 S. Becker F
32 M. Ingvartsen F
15 M. Bülter F
Bench (9)
33 S. Griesbeck
36 C. Teuchert
10 M. Kruse
23 N. Gießelmann
8 J. Mees
35 L. Moser
19 F. Hübner
6 J. Ryerson
4 N. Schlotterbeck

Coach: U. Fischer

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
19 F. Uduokhai D
22 Iago D
20 D. Caligiuri M
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira M
16 R. Vargas M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
28 A. Hahn
27 A. Finnbogason
24 F. Jensen
36 R. Oxford
33 T. Strobl
5 M. Suchý
2 R. Gumny
3 M. Pedersen
40 T. Koubek

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,25
B ✓
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.