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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Mainz
S T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Jan -18 Mainz – Stuttgart 3–2 26. Aug -17 Stuttgart – Mainz 1–0 7. May -16 Stuttgart – Mainz 1–3 11. Dec -15 Mainz – Stuttgart 0–0

Match report

Mainz Stuttgart
P. Malong 🔁
↦ J. Gbamin
42′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ N. González
Gerit Holtmann 🟨
63′
A. Ujah 🔁
↦ J. Mateta
67′
1–0 A. Ujah ⚽
R. Quaison
76′
79′
🟨 Santiago Ascacibar
81′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ E. Thommy
84′
🔁 B. Sosa
↦ E. Insúa
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
89′
90′
🟨 Borna Sosa
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mainz

4-2-3-1
22 F. Müller G
18 D. Brosinski D
16 S. Bell D
3 Aarón Martín D
19 M. Niakhate D
32 P. De Blasis M
25 J. Gbamin M
38 G. Holtmann M
34 R. Baku M
7 R. Quaison F
9 J. Mateta F
Bench (7)
14 P. Malong
20 A. Ujah
21 K. Onisiwo
10 A. Maxim
24 G. Bussmann
26 N. Bungert
27 R. Zentner

Coach: S. Schwarz

Stuttgart

4-4-2
1 R. Zieler G
2 E. Insúa D
28 H. Badstuber D
7 Pablo Maffeo M
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
8 G. Castro M
17 E. Thommy M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
22 N. González F
Bench (7)
10 D. Didavi
19 C. Akolo
24 B. Sosa
3 D. Aogo
5 T. Baumgartl
13 J. Grahl
32 A. Beck

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.