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Europa League
Referee: Luís Godinho
Freiburg
S T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Basel
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 1,10
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Freiburg Basel
-5′
🟨 Albian Ajeti
1–0 P. Osterhage ⚽
31′
42′
🟨 Keigo Tsunemoto
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 N. Vouilloz
↦ K. Tsunemoto
57′
🔁 P. Otele
↦ I. Salah
57′
🔁 J. Agbonifo
↦ Junior Ze
2–0 M. Eggestein ⚽
V. Grifo
57′
Vincenzo Grifo 🟨
70′
P. Treu 🔁
↦ J. Beste
71′
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ C. Gunter
71′
71′
🔁 M. Broschinski
↦ A. Ajeti
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
75′
I. Matanovic 🔁
↦ J. Adamu
75′
83′
🔁 K. Ruegg
↦ J. Adjetey
84′
⚽ P. Otele 2–1
L. Leroy
Philipp Treu 🟨
89′
E. Dinkci 🔁
↦ J. Manzambi
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
5 A. Jung D
30 C. Gunter D
8 M. Eggestein M
6 P. Osterhage M
19 J. Beste M
44 J. Manzambi M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (11)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
7 D. Scherhant
14 Y. Suzuki
18 E. Dinkci
27 N. Hofler
29 P. Treu
31 I. Matanovic
33 J. Makengo
37 M. Rosenfelder
43 B. Ogbus

Coach: Julian Schuster

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 M. Salvi G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
26 A. Barisic D
32 J. Adjetey D
31 D. Schmid D
5 Metinho M
22 L. Leroy M
21 I. Salah M
10 X. Shaqiri M
39 Junior Ze M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (12)
16 T. Spycher
47 T. Pfeiffer
3 N. Vouilloz
7 P. Otele
9 J. Agbonifo
14 A. Bacanin
17 M. Broschinski
19 M. Soticek
24 F. Daniliuc
27 K. Ruegg
28 D. Kacuri
29 M. Cisse

Coach: Ludovic Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.